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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 8, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 5, Buffalo Sabres 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Antropov–Kane–BurmistrovLadd–Wheeler–LittleWellwood–Slater–GlassThorburn–McArdle–StapletonThorburn–Slater–McArdleWellwood–Ladd–LittleOduya–ByfuglienStuart–BogosianFlood–Festerling
Roy–Stafford–Leino1:230.01–0.000:320.17–0.004:240.08–0.180:450.00–0.003:560.64–0.082:310.01–0.043:010.00–0.14
Pominville–Vanek–Adam4:240.52–0.243:280.12–0.540:300.00–0.003:290.03–0.334:380.52–0.541:000.12–0.00
Boyes–Gaustad–Gerbe1:250.04–0.002:400.17–0.003:010.15–0.001:590.17–0.00
Gaustad–Gerbe–Tropp1:060.02–0.001:140.61–0.001:200.63–0.000:380.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
McCormick–Ellis–Tropp0:310.00–0.081:070.01–0.000:540.01–0.000:560.03–0.00
Gaustad–Stafford–Gerbe0:590.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:330.03–0.00
Ellis–Gerbe–Tropp0:380.05–0.001:060.05–0.02
Regehr–Leopold4:280.03–0.244:270.89–0.180:530.00–0.004:290.89–0.295:240.03–0.201:170.12–0.00
Ehrhoff–Gragnani2:200.51–0.023:500.21–0.442:150.02–0.043:550.37–0.174:501.31–0.481:560.07–0.00
Sekera–Myers2:420.05–0.000:530.00–0.003:130.00–0.161:070.01–0.000:560.00–0.004:390.12–0.511:560.01–0.002:480.00–0.14
Ehrhoff–Sekera0:380.00–0.02
Ehrhoff–Myers0:310.00–0.000:340.08–0.000:340.08–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBoyes FGaustad FGerbe FVanek FPominville FAdam FLeino FStafford FRoy FMcCormick FEllis FTropp FSekera DMyers DRegehr DLeopold DEhrhoff DGragnani DMiller GLadd FLittle FWheeler FBurmistrov FAntropov FKane FSlater FWellwood FGlass FStapleton FThorburn FMcArdle FOduya DByfuglien DBogosian DStuart DFlood DFesterling DPavelec G
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach BogosianWPG3428:500:511:4408
Jason PominvilleBUF3126:190:511:54122
Christian EhrhoffBUF2925:590:541:4663
Derek RoyBUF3024:360:492:4884
Johnny OduyaWPG3524:220:421:2663
Mark StuartWPG3224:200:461:44010
Thomas VanekBUF2923:470:492:12120
Tyler MyersBUF3322:550:421:3869
Dustin ByfuglienWPG3122:290:441:3263
Bryan LittleWPG2822:200:481:5124
Drew StaffordBUF2619:540:461:3433
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF2519:310:471:2161
Andrew LaddWPG2619:230:451:3522
Robyn RegehrBUF2518:450:451:4924
Nik AntropovWPG2318:420:491:5752
Ville LeinoBUF2318:300:481:1930
Alexander BurmistrovWPG2218:180:501:5752
Evander KaneWPG2217:500:491:5743
Jordan LeopoldBUF2517:310:421:4933
Mark FloodWPG2517:000:411:3523
Brad BoyesBUF2116:170:472:1265
Andrej SekeraBUF2415:580:401:1827
Paul GaustadBUF2315:540:411:4947
Nathan GerbeBUF2315:050:391:4046
Jim SlaterWPG2114:540:431:2317
Kyle WellwoodWPG1914:300:461:3533
Blake WheelerWPG2214:280:391:2523
Luke AdamBUF1913:130:421:2350
Tanner GlassWPG1310:320:491:3813
Brett FesterlingWPG1710:270:371:0413
Chris ThorburnWPG159:300:381:2626
Corey TroppBUF147:450:331:1333
Tim StapletonWPG117:040:390:5350
Matt EllisBUF105:170:320:5723
Kenndal McArdleWPG65:100:521:1320
Cody McCormickBUF62:300:250:4413