Tue, Nov 15, 2011·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Colorado Avalanche 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 58% of the time.
45%
12%
11%
31%
PIT winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.02 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.03 | 68.2% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.01 | 24.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.16 | 64.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.03 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 17:16 | 0.44 | 69.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.20 | 64.9% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.01 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:39 | 0.23 | 49.4% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.02 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.13 | 59.6% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.07 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.08 | 62.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 3.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:30 | 0.05 | 75.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 27 | 6 | .818 | 1.83 | −4.2 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 24:12 | 0.11 | 36.1% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 23:04 | 0.32 | 46.1% | +56.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.33 | 52.5% | +66.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.03 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.04 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.06 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.22 | 44.8% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.02 | 30.2% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.17 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.12 | 41.0% | +10.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:43 | 0.20 | 50.0% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.03 | 42.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.02 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:07 | 0.08 | 77.4% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.03 | 44.0% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:27 | 0.05 | 38.9% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:22 | 0.00 | 52.9% | +2.6 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 1.51 | −1.5 | 60:00 |