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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 30, 2011·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:32Shot by Miller, saved by Roloson
  3. P1 3:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  4. P1 3:57Shot by Malone, saved by Howard
  5. P1 4:46Shot by Franzen, saved by Roloson
  6. P1 4:56Shot by Franzen, saved by Roloson
  7. P1 4:58Goal by Datsyuk (Bertuzzi, Franzen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, White, Franzen · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Downie, Hedman

  8. P1 7:19Shot by Downie, saved by Howard
  9. P1 8:09Shot by Brunnstrom, saved by Roloson
  10. P1 9:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Howard
  11. P1 11:04Goal by Ericsson (Filppula)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos

  12. P1 11:16Shot by Purcell, saved by Howard
  13. P1 12:07Shot by Helm, saved by Roloson
  14. P1 13:01Shot by Hall, saved by Howard
  15. P1 14:41Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Roloson
  16. P1 15:50Shot by Connolly, saved by Howard
  17. P1 15:59Shot by Pyatt, saved by Howard
  18. P1 16:37Shot by White, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 18:15Shot by Filppula, saved by Roloson
  20. P1 18:25Shot by Kronwall, saved by Roloson
  21. P1 18:33Shot by Hudler, saved by Roloson
  22. P1 18:37Stamkos: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson · TBL Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy

  23. P1 18:50Shot by Franzen, saved by Roloson5v4
  24. P1 19:05Shot by Franzen, saved by Roloson5v4
  25. P1 19:12Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Roloson5v4
  26. P1 19:11Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Roloson5v4
  27. P1 19:57Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Roloson5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P1 19:59Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Roloson5v4
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:11Shot by St. Louis, saved by Howard
  32. P2 2:55Shot by Cleary, saved by Roloson
  33. P2 4:39Bertuzzi: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DET Stuart, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Hudler, Franzen · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Hall, Tyrell, Hedman

  34. P2 5:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard4v5
  35. P2 5:58Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Roloson4v5
  36. P2 7:27Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Roloson
  37. P2 8:05Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  38. P2 8:09Ericsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Filppula, Hudler, White, Ericsson · TBL Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt, Tyrell, Gilroy

  39. P2 9:15Shot by Helm, saved by Roloson4v5
  40. P2 9:35Goal by St. Louis (Purcell, Bergeron)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Filppula, White, Miller · TBL St. Louis, Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Stamkos

  41. P2 10:28Thompson: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Ericsson, Franzen, Kindl · TBL Thompson, Pyatt, Stamkos, Gilroy, Hedman

  42. P2 11:33Shot by Kronwall, saved by Roloson5v4
  43. P2 13:45Shot by Downie, saved by Howard
  44. P2 19:46Goal by Stamkos (Gilroy, Lecavalier)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Franzen · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos, Gilroy

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:23Brunnstrom: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Cleary, Ericsson, Kindl, Helm, Brunnstrom · TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos

  48. P3 1:38Shot by Helm, saved by Roloson4v5
  49. P3 2:54Shot by Tyrell, saved by Howard
  50. P3 4:13Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Roloson
  51. P3 4:13Brewer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, White, Franzen · TBL Clark, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos

  52. P3 4:22Goal by Holmstrom (Lidstrom, Datsyuk)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, White, Franzen · TBL Clark, Hall, Thompson, Hedman

  53. P3 6:29Shot by Brunnstrom, saved by Roloson
  54. P3 7:12Shot by Miller, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 7:46Shot by Hedman, saved by Howard
  56. P3 10:35Hudler: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Stuart, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler · TBL Malone, Bergeron, Downie, Purcell, Gilroy

  57. P3 10:43Shot by Kronwall, saved by Roloson4v5
  58. P3 11:17Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Howard4v5
  59. P3 11:44Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Roloson4v5
  60. P3 13:14Goal by Helm (Kindl, Ericsson)+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Cleary, White, Kindl, Helm · TBL Brewer, Moore, Downie, Pyatt, Hedman

  61. P3 12:05Shot by Stuart, saved by Roloson4v5
  62. P3 14:19Shot by Malone, saved by Howard
  63. P3 14:32Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Roloson
  64. P3 14:45Lecavalier: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DET Lidstrom, Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, White, Franzen · TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos

  65. P3 15:49Shot by Gilroy, saved by Howard5v4
  66. P3 17:32Shot by Hudler, saved by Roloson5v4
  67. P3 17:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard5v4
  68. P3 18:31Shot by Franzen, saved by Roloson5v4
  69. P3 19:12Shot by St. Louis, saved by Howard5v6
  70. P3 19:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard5v6
  71. P3 19:28Shot by Bergeron, saved by Howard5v6
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final