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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 30, 2011·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moore–Pyatt–ConnollySt. Louis–Lecavalier–StamkosHall–Thompson–TyrellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–DownieMalone–Purcell–StamkosMalone–Downie–PurcellBergeron–GilroyBrewer–HedmanClark–KubinaGilroy–HedmanKubina–HedmanClark–Gilroy
Bertuzzi–Datsyuk–Franzen4:260.48–0.151:340.00–0.024:180.18–0.071:560.03–0.003:470.15–0.093:040.16–0.000:450.12–0.00
Zetterberg–Filppula–Hudler0:490.00–0.001:060.00–0.161:310.00–0.003:020.38–0.151:520.00–0.004:010.31–0.163:180.00–0.001:080.07–0.150:530.00–0.00
Holmstrom–Miller–Abdelkader4:230.01–0.051:570.08–0.121:460.07–0.001:500.00–0.293:200.02–0.05
Cleary–Helm–Brunnstrom1:490.07–0.001:000.00–0.011:050.00–0.011:380.00–0.032:050.00–0.031:380.00–0.012:110.07–0.010:310.00–0.00
Cleary–Abdelkader–Helm0:380.00–0.00
Lidstrom–White2:160.06–0.003:570.48–0.091:170.01–0.124:240.18–0.071:460.03–0.004:370.15–0.216:070.24–0.000:560.12–0.00
Kronwall–Ericsson1:050.00–0.220:300.00–0.003:240.38–0.160:320.00–0.002:290.31–0.162:510.00–0.011:020.07–0.15
Stuart–Kindl3:280.02–0.001:450.02–0.000:450.00–0.002:130.02–0.001:250.00–0.002:500.02–0.00
Ericsson–Kindl1:280.05–0.051:200.00–0.011:040.00–0.001:310.00–0.001:150.05–0.061:000.00–0.00
Stuart–Kronwall1:250.12–0.170:570.05–0.000:350.05–0.001:000.00–0.003:080.11–0.000:350.00–0.17
Stuart–Ericsson1:210.00–0.031:280.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHudler FZetterberg FFilppula FFranzen FDatsyuk FBertuzzi FHelm FBrunnstrom FCleary FAbdelkader FMiller FHolmstrom FEricsson DKronwall DLidstrom DWhite DKindl DStuart DHoward GMalone FThompson FStamkos FSt. Louis FLecavalier FDownie FPyatt FConnolly FMoore FHall FTyrell FPurcell FBrewer DHedman DClark DKubina DBergeron DGilroy DRoloson G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Niklas KronwallDET2723:350:521:5057
Nicklas LidstromDET2623:340:541:4316
Martin St. LouisTBL2422:350:561:5270
Victor HedmanTBL2722:070:492:4315
Eric BrewerTBL2721:370:481:5045
Steven StamkosTBL2621:280:501:5290
Vincent LecavalierTBL2220:120:551:5250
Henrik ZetterbergDET2419:520:501:5448
Brad StuartDET2119:160:551:3524
Ian WhiteDET2419:100:481:2515
Pavel DatsyukDET2819:050:411:28111
Matt GilroyTBL2318:370:491:2440
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2118:110:522:2260
Brett ClarkTBL2518:100:441:5631
Valtteri FilppulaDET2317:540:471:5055
Jonathan EricssonDET2317:200:451:2106
Ryan MaloneTBL1917:130:542:12100
Daniel ClearyDET2316:320:431:5023
Johan FranzenDET2216:010:441:2115
Todd BertuzziDET2115:430:451:3014
Dominic MooreTBL1815:030:501:1532
Jiri HudlerDET1914:460:471:4326
Pavel KubinaTBL1914:410:461:3121
Jakub KindlDET1514:200:571:3301
Darren HelmDET2314:100:371:0712
Nate ThompsonTBL2313:040:341:0104
Tom PyattTBL1612:500:481:1511
Teddy PurcellTBL1712:070:431:1550
Tomas HolmstromDET1312:050:561:1642
Steve DownieTBL1512:000:481:1540
Drew MillerDET1511:540:481:1621
Adam HallTBL1911:540:381:3514
Dana TyrellTBL1711:270:401:3501
Brett ConnollyTBL119:300:521:1510
Justin AbdelkaderDET119:270:521:1621
Fabian BrunnstromDET157:540:321:0210