Wed, Nov 30, 2011·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
8%
22%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.48 | 44.5% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.19 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:37 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:28 | 0.42 | 40.3% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.21 | 44.5% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.16 | 51.7% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.09 | 26.0% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.04 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.20 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.15 | 35.6% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.09 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.01 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.02 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:30 | 0.03 | 27.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.28 | −0.7 | 59:05 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:35 | 0.10 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:34 | 0.16 | 65.7% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:52 | 0.56 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.03 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.01 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:05 | 0.56 | 72.3% | +46.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.11 | 44.5% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.07 | 44.4% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.30 | 83.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:01 | 0.39 | 72.3% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 76.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.21 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 68.9% | +9.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:10 | 0.28 | 81.5% | +9.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:05 | 0.36 | 28.6% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.07 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:54 | 0.07 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.10 | +0.1 | 59:56 |