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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 12, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New Jersey Devils 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kovalchuk–Parise–HenriqueSykora–Elias–ClarksonZubrus–Carter–PalmieriBoulton–Sestito–TedenbyBoulton–Zubrus–CarterSykora–Elias–ZubrusBoulton–Carter–TedenbySykora–Zubrus–CarterTallinder–LarssonSalvador–TaorminaSalvador–FayneFayne–UrbomTaormina–UrbomSalvador–LarssonSalvador–TallinderFayne–Taormina
Thompson–Pyatt–Stamkos0:310.00–0.002:270.10–0.020:300.00–0.001:150.02–0.000:460.00–0.001:250.08–0.02
Lecavalier–Moore–Stamkos1:430.02–0.040:570.00–0.020:420.02–0.00
Malone–Downie–Stamkos0:550.00–0.140:350.00–0.001:210.00–0.140:330.12–0.00
Hall–Jones–Tyrell0:350.00–0.080:410.00–0.001:300.17–0.080:390.00–0.00
Malone–Purcell–Stamkos0:390.00–0.000:480.00–0.011:090.00–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Tyrell0:430.00–0.100:310.00–0.001:030.00–0.160:310.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Malone–Downie1:180.03–0.030:370.02–0.00
Moore–Shannon–Purcell0:530.01–0.000:470.01–0.00
Moore–Jones–Tyrell0:570.16–0.000:570.16–0.00
Shannon–Jones–Purcell0:360.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Downie–Pyatt1:060.05–0.290:380.05–0.12
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell0:440.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Moore–Jones0:340.00–0.00
Moore–Thompson–Downie0:360.00–0.020:360.00–0.02
Brewer–Hedman3:150.00–0.054:120.20–0.122:380.06–0.191:330.12–0.021:500.00–0.002:190.08–0.02
Kubina–Bergeron1:240.08–0.142:430.17–0.060:580.01–0.000:370.00–0.000:350.00–0.004:270.06–0.231:000.01–0.001:150.01–0.001:250.17–0.000:330.02–0.00
Clark–Gilroy2:190.02–0.141:500.05–0.171:200.03–0.022:360.05–0.162:440.06–0.180:370.03–0.00
Bergeron–Hedman0:540.09–0.000:560.07–0.000:440.00–0.000:410.07–0.000:310.00–0.00
Gilroy–Hedman0:300.00–0.000:390.00–0.110:400.00–0.11
Clark–Bergeron1:030.00–0.000:440.01–0.000:510.00–0.00
Bergeron–Gilroy0:330.11–0.000:470.00–0.00
Brewer–Bergeron0:440.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Clark–Hedman1:200.00–0.181:280.00–0.18
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLecavalier FDownie FPyatt FHall FTyrell FThompson FMalone FPurcell FStamkos FMoore FShannon FJones FClark DGilroy DBrewer DHedman DKubina DBergeron DRoloson GGaron GSykora FClarkson FElias FParise FHenrique FKovalchuk FCarter FZubrus FPalmieri FTedenby FSestito FBoulton FSalvador DTaormina DLarsson DTallinder DFayne DUrbom DHedberg G
TBLNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2826:070:562:2951
Henrik TallinderNJD3124:560:481:3615
Steven StamkosTBL2724:520:551:5383
Patrik EliasNJD3423:430:421:0966
Victor HedmanTBL3023:090:461:4972
Eric BrewerTBL3022:250:451:2434
Bryce SalvadorNJD2922:250:461:3517
Mark FayneNJD2921:470:451:2638
Ilya KovalchukNJD2521:090:512:2336
Zach PariseNJD2820:440:441:2827
Vincent LecavalierTBL2219:590:552:0761
Petr SykoraNJD2419:250:491:1031
Adam LarssonNJD2519:020:461:3622
Adam HenriqueNJD2818:380:401:0618
Dainius ZubrusNJD2817:410:381:1723
Matt TaorminaNJD2417:060:431:0522
Ryan MaloneTBL1816:540:561:5361
Brett ClarkTBL2816:460:361:2125
Pavel KubinaTBL2416:140:411:4262
Dominic MooreTBL2216:010:441:2423
David ClarksonNJD2315:580:421:1833
Steve DownieTBL2215:250:421:3071
Nate ThompsonTBL2314:560:391:1903
Matt GilroyTBL2414:490:371:1813
Tom PyattTBL2013:330:411:3112
Ryan CarterNJD2113:080:381:0131
Blair JonesTBL1512:130:491:1714
Teddy PurcellTBL1712:090:431:2432
Ryan ShannonTBL1511:030:441:2413
Dana TyrellTBL1711:000:391:1902
Alexander UrbomNJD1510:300:421:0522
Eric BoultonNJD1610:060:380:5810
Adam HallTBL157:380:310:5504
Mattias TedenbyNJD75:120:451:0710
Nick PalmieriNJD105:040:301:0120
Tim SestitoNJD64:200:430:5900