Thu, Dec 15, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Calgary Flames 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 60% of the time.
31%
9%
9%
51%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28:32 | 0.07 | 55.6% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:20 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:00 | 0.11 | 23.2% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 6 | 20:12 | 0.64 | 38.2% | +57.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.15 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.07 | 59.0% | +49.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.23 | 82.4% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.10 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.28 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.01 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.32 | 77.2% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.05 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.02 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.35 | 84.4% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.05 | 88.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 8:24 | 0.52 | 84.0% | +19.2 |
| O | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.38 | −2.6 | 60:19 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 25:16 | 0.03 | 49.9% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:48 | 0.03 | 48.9% | +35.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:43 | 0.37 | 42.3% | +70.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.04 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.27 | 32.1% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:13 | 0.06 | 24.0% | +63.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.01 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:51 | 0.30 | 53.9% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.45 | 57.3% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.16 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.10 | 61.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:25 | 0.10 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:45 | 0.34 | 59.2% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 59.4% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:40 | 0.07 | 57.3% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:57 | 0.06 | 61.0% | +23.6 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.96 | −1.0 | 60:30 |