Fri, Dec 23, 2011·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 68% of the time.
23%
8%
61%
NYI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.09 | 48.0% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:34 | 0.01 | 68.0% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:23 | 0.02 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.09 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.28 | 81.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.18 | 76.4% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.41 | 63.4% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.61 | 63.6% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.11 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.92 | 62.7% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.34 | 47.2% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.51 | 69.2% | +23.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.40 | 71.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.01 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.13 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.12 | 22.0% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.12 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.13 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.09 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.04 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:52 | 0.50 | 40.4% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.03 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.05 | 37.8% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 20:19 | 0.23 | 38.3% | +29.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:21 | 0.50 | 52.5% | +10.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.15 | 33.5% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.52 | 39.5% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.09 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 52.6% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.18 | 65.9% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.54 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:19 | 0.11 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.03 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:41 | 0.08 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 37.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 3.61 | −0.4 | 59:05 |