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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 13, 2012·Verizon Center, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Washington Capitals 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Malone–Thompson–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–PyattMoore–Downie–PurcellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–TyrellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–ConnollyMoore–Purcell–ConnollySt. Louis–Lecavalier–StamkosMalone–Downie–PurcellMalone–Labrie–StamkosDownie–Pyatt–LabrieMoore–Pyatt–LabrieKubina–BrewerClark–GilroyMikkelson–GilroyGervais–MikkelsonClark–GervaisBrewer–GilroyBrewer–GervaisClark–KubinaKubina–GilroyGervais–Gilroy
Semin–Ovechkin–Johansson4:090.02–0.341:460.00–0.171:050.00–0.030:560.00–0.036:380.00–0.450:510.00–0.030:440.02–0.08
Knuble–Laich–Brouwer0:420.00–0.023:030.02–0.452:240.00–0.041:550.07–0.020:320.00–0.002:560.34–0.021:500.00–0.150:480.00–0.031:200.07–0.020:490.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Halpern–Ward–Hendricks2:410.01–0.101:400.00–0.001:110.08–0.001:150.00–0.110:560.00–0.002:220.00–0.001:080.00–0.122:020.00–0.121:560.08–0.001:040.01–0.001:290.00–0.00
Chimera–Beagle–Eakin1:250.05–0.000:590.14–0.000:490.00–0.001:240.15–0.001:280.04–0.050:590.05–0.00
Knuble–Chimera–Laich1:000.00–0.071:070.00–0.07
Ward–Hendricks–Laich0:340.00–0.00
Alzner–Carlson1:070.00–0.033:340.02–0.321:580.00–0.040:590.07–0.021:110.00–0.073:090.34–0.140:560.00–0.011:440.00–0.041:090.07–0.021:150.00–0.020:300.00–0.00
Wideman–Orlov4:240.03–0.431:040.00–0.000:390.14–0.002:330.00–0.261:190.14–0.082:000.02–0.080:370.00–0.000:570.03–0.000:300.00–0.00
Hamrlik–Kundratek2:090.00–0.170:440.00–0.031:440.08–0.033:390.00–0.201:070.01–0.031:000.08–0.000:380.00–0.000:350.04–0.01
Hamrlik–Wideman1:560.00–0.001:000.00–0.023:040.00–0.000:320.00–0.020:550.00–0.001:320.00–0.00
Wideman–Alzner0:350.00–0.001:110.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Carlson–Orlov0:300.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:260.00–0.140:390.00–0.00
Hamrlik–Carlson0:390.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:470.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FSemin FJohansson FBrouwer FLaich FKnuble FChimera FHalpern FWard FHendricks FEakin FBeagle FWideman DOrlov DCarlson DHamrlik DAlzner DKundratek DVokoun GMalone FThompson FStamkos FSt. Louis FLecavalier FTyrell FPyatt FMoore FConnolly FDownie FPurcell FLabrie FBrewer DClark DKubina DGervais DGilroy DMikkelson DRoloson G
WSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Eric BrewerTBL3128:050:541:5147
Dennis WidemanWSH3027:290:552:2744
John CarlsonWSH3225:110:471:5037
Pavel KubinaTBL3224:560:471:5926
Martin St. LouisTBL2522:450:551:5992
Vincent LecavalierTBL2522:070:531:5991
Roman HamrlikWSH2821:500:471:3035
Brooks LaichWSH2621:060:491:2847
Steven StamkosTBL2220:570:571:3881
Karl AlznerWSH2720:190:451:4239
Ryan MaloneTBL2219:290:531:2280
Matt GilroyTBL2518:500:451:0823
Brett ClarkTBL3018:130:361:2533
Alexander SeminWSH1617:351:062:0131
Alex OvechkinWSH1817:240:582:0452
Mike KnubleWSH2517:200:421:2042
Troy BrouwerWSH2517:160:411:3674
Marcus JohanssonWSH1716:541:002:0132
Dmitry OrlovWSH1915:380:491:2601
Matt HendricksWSH2115:250:441:2221
Tom PyattTBL1915:200:481:3726
Nate ThompsonTBL1915:170:481:1626
Teddy PurcellTBL1815:150:511:3531
Jeff HalpernWSH2514:200:341:2228
Steve DownieTBL1713:200:471:4732
Dominic MooreTBL1813:110:441:1812
Bruno GervaisTBL2012:590:391:5152
Joel WardWSH1712:330:441:2822
Jason ChimeraWSH179:530:351:0124
Dana TyrellTBL149:320:411:1303
Brendan MikkelsonTBL129:230:471:1440
Brett ConnollyTBL128:430:441:4411
Tomas KundratekWSH127:250:371:1722
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL107:040:421:1110
Jay BeagleWSH116:550:381:1801
Cody EakinWSH96:510:461:0501