Sat, Jan 21, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
9%
24%
TOR winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cole–Desharnais–Pacioretty | Moen–Kostitsyn–Eller | Gomez–Plekanec–Bourque | Gomez–Plekanec–Kostitsyn | Gomez–Darche–Blunden | Plekanec–Bourque–Blunden | Moen–Bourque–Eller | Gomez–Cole–Darche | Gorges–Subban | Kaberle–Emelin | Gill–Diaz | Campoli–Diaz | Campoli–Emelin | Kaberle–Diaz | Emelin–Diaz | Gill–Emelin | Gorges–Emelin | Kaberle–Campoli | Kaberle–Subban | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lombardi–Kessel–Bozak | 1:470.14–0.07 | 2:460.31–0.07 | 2:010.14–0.12 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | 1:010.03–0.00 | 7:130.46–0.24 | ||||||||||||
| Connolly–Lupul–Kadri | 4:240.25–0.09 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:480.17–0.06 | 1:290.02–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.51 | 2:350.20–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.03 | 1:430.10–0.02 | 0:590.13–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.17 | |||||||||
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | 1:490.00–0.02 | 3:330.14–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 1:210.07–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.02 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 1:310.11–0.00 | 1:270.07–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 | |||||
| Steckel–Crabb–Brown | 1:450.26–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:050.08–0.00 | 1:500.14–0.23 | 0:350.08–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:370.12–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Crabb–Grabovski–Kulemin | 0:300.04–0.00 | 1:590.14–0.02 | 1:050.06–0.00 | 1:110.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:360.06–0.25 | 1:370.06–0.25 | ||||||||||||||||
| Connolly–Lombardi–Kadri | 0:580.00–0.09 | 1:150.00–0.09 | |||||||||||||||||
| Connolly–Lupul–Kessel | 0:490.06–0.00 | 1:030.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Franson–Gardiner | 0:510.04–0.00 | 2:560.14–0.25 | 2:190.12–0.12 | 1:270.14–0.02 | 1:050.07–0.00 | 1:110.03–0.00 | 5:060.23–0.36 | 1:000.04–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:420.08–0.00 | 0:490.07–0.00 | 0:330.08–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Komisarek–Gunnarsson | 2:140.26–0.06 | 3:450.33–0.00 | 1:390.25–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | 3:010.32–0.06 | 2:330.21–0.00 | 2:000.00–0.27 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:060.13–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.03 | ||||||||
| Phaneuf–Schenn | 4:050.04–0.08 | 1:230.00–0.07 | 1:120.05–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.08 | 1:510.00–0.68 | 2:300.04–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.03 | 1:180.04–0.00 | 1:410.02–0.08 | |||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gardiner | 2:530.14–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:220.06–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:160.08–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 1:470.14–0.09 | 0:330.00–0.07 | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.07 | 0:360.14–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| Franson–Gunnarsson | 1:100.14–0.00 | 0:470.03–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Gunnarsson–Gardiner | 0:330.09–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 33 | 27:56 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 7 | 4 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 35 | 27:18 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 3 | 6 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 23:49 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 5 | 5 |
 Erik ColeMTL | 26 | 21:38 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 6 | 2 |
 Josh GorgesMTL | 29 | 21:23 | 0:44 | 1:42 | 2 | 7 |
 P.K. SubbanMTL | 28 | 21:17 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 6 | 4 |
 Tomas PlekanecMTL | 26 | 20:01 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 4 | 7 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 20 | 18:58 | 0:57 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Alexei EmelinMTL | 24 | 18:17 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 1 | 2 |
 David DesharnaisMTL | 23 | 18:02 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 7 | 2 |
 Max PaciorettyMTL | 24 | 18:01 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 7 | 2 |
 Scott GomezMTL | 25 | 17:55 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Raphael DiazMTL | 26 | 17:53 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 4 | 4 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 20 | 17:35 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 5 | 2 |
 Tomas KaberleMTL | 21 | 17:31 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 2 | 1 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 23 | 17:26 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 8 | 2 |
 Travis MoenMTL | 25 | 17:14 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 0 | 8 |
 Tim ConnollyTOR | 23 | 17:04 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 5 | 2 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 20 | 16:42 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Lars EllerMTL | 24 | 16:01 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 23 | 15:47 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 7 | 3 |
 Andrei KostitsynMTL | 21 | 15:38 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Matthew LombardiTOR | 20 | 15:34 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 21 | 14:27 | 0:41 | 1:04 | 3 | 3 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 21 | 14:25 | 0:41 | 0:59 | 6 | 2 |
 Mike KomisarekTOR | 24 | 14:10 | 0:35 | 1:14 | 0 | 5 |
 Rene BourqueMTL | 19 | 14:02 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 19 | 13:22 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 15 | 12:41 | 0:51 | 1:14 | 1 | 6 |
 Chris CampoliMTL | 16 | 12:30 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Hal GillMTL | 16 | 11:28 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 1 | 6 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 18 | 11:05 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 4 | 4 |
 David SteckelTOR | 15 | 9:51 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 1 | 5 |
 Mathieu DarcheMTL | 13 | 8:13 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |
 Mike BlundenMTL | 9 | 7:14 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 0 | 1 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 11 | 7:02 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |