Tue, Jan 31, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Washington Capitals 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.
45%
12%
11%
32%
TBL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 28:37 | 0.09 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 26:01 | 0.01 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 23:34 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:40 | 0.34 | 56.5% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:39 | 0.03 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:51 | 0.37 | 59.2% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.21 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.07 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.11 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.05 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.03 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.05 | 57.3% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.16 | 30.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.03 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:42 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:37 | 0.07 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:13 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 1.92 | −2.1 | 62:45 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:34 | 0.19 | 58.2% | +67.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:07 | 0.03 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:48 | 0.02 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 22:05 | 0.55 | 51.4% | +67.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.26 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.01 | 52.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.05 | 61.3% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.02 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.19 | 63.4% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.06 | 54.9% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.01 | 69.2% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.03 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:57 | 0.30 | 59.1% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.02 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:00 | 0.13 | 65.9% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.03 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:27 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:08 | 0.04 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 1.63 | −1.4 | 62:43 |