Tue, Jan 31, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Washington Capitals 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.
45%
12%
11%
32%
TBL winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hendricks–Laich–Brouwer | Semin–Perreault–Johansson | Knuble–Chimera–Halpern | Knuble–Halpern–Ward | Chimera–Laich–Brouwer | Knuble–Ward–Eakin | Halpern–Ward–Hendricks | Wideman–Alzner | Carlson–Orlov | Hamrlik–Carlson | Hamrlik–Wideman | Erskine–Alzner | Erskine–Orlov | Wideman–Orlov | Alzner–Orlov | Hamrlik–Orlov | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downie–Purcell–Stamkos | 4:080.16–0.11 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:490.01–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:380.01–0.07 | 1:090.12–0.00 | 2:490.14–0.11 | 1:370.24–0.14 | 1:300.03–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | ||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pyatt | 1:550.06–0.04 | 5:040.16–0.06 | 3:410.09–0.05 | 2:180.02–0.06 | 1:170.10–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | |||||||||
| Moore–Thompson–Wyman | 6:280.17–0.13 | 0:520.00–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:390.02–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.04 | 1:220.16–0.00 | 0:500.10–0.00 | 1:230.02–0.10 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 0:480.01–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Shannon | 0:510.00–0.05 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Shannon–Connolly | 1:190.05–0.04 | 0:540.00–0.04 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Moore–Thompson–Pyatt | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Shannon–Downie | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Moore–Thompson | 1:020.05–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Kubina–Brewer | 3:190.13–0.16 | 7:040.21–0.17 | 1:090.00–0.04 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 4:320.01–0.17 | 3:350.12–0.07 | 2:030.04–0.11 | 2:100.21–0.09 | 1:170.06–0.10 | 0:590.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Gervais–Mikkelson | 1:020.01–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.00 | 2:580.04–0.01 | 0:460.14–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.01 | 3:050.18–0.00 | 1:410.14–0.06 | 1:130.01–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | |||||
| Clark–Gilroy | 3:120.03–0.06 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 2:490.10–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.06 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:460.24–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Clark–Hedman | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.05 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Gervais–Hedman | 1:400.19–0.14 | 1:530.04–0.06 | 1:490.19–0.05 | 0:510.02–0.04 | 0:420.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Gilroy–Hedman | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:020.04–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.12 | ||||||||||||
| Kubina–Hedman | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dennis WidemanWSH | 31 | 28:37 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 30 | 26:01 | 0:52 | 2:05 | 4 | 3 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 28 | 25:34 | 0:55 | 1:43 | 5 | 1 |
 Karl AlznerWSH | 30 | 23:34 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 4 | 4 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 28 | 23:07 | 0:50 | 1:56 | 0 | 4 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 26 | 22:48 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 0 | 3 |
 Troy BrouwerWSH | 26 | 22:40 | 0:52 | 1:49 | 4 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 26 | 22:05 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 29 | 21:39 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 0 | 0 |
 Brooks LaichWSH | 28 | 20:51 | 0:45 | 1:49 | 2 | 3 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 20 | 20:48 | 1:02 | 2:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Mike KnubleWSH | 25 | 19:50 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 0 | 4 |
 Alexander SeminWSH | 20 | 19:29 | 0:58 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 22 | 19:03 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 4 | 1 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 21 | 18:43 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 2 | 1 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 25 | 18:42 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 22 | 18:38 | 0:51 | 1:59 | 0 | 2 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 23 | 18:06 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 0 | 5 |
 Jason ChimeraWSH | 25 | 17:10 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 20 | 16:47 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 0 | 4 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 24 | 16:44 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Jeff HalpernWSH | 23 | 16:37 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 1 | 6 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 19 | 16:34 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Matt HendricksWSH | 20 | 16:17 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 3 | 1 |
 Mathieu PerreaultWSH | 21 | 16:14 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 1 | 0 |
 Roman HamrlikWSH | 17 | 15:52 | 0:56 | 1:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 19 | 14:57 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt GilroyTBL | 16 | 14:42 | 0:55 | 1:56 | 2 | 4 |
 JT WymanTBL | 19 | 13:00 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 0 | 1 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 16 | 12:57 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 5 | 2 |
 John ErskineWSH | 15 | 7:42 | 0:31 | 0:56 | 2 | 0 |
 Joel WardWSH | 9 | 7:37 | 0:51 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |
 Ryan ShannonTBL | 7 | 7:27 | 1:04 | 1:48 | 1 | 0 |
 Cody EakinWSH | 7 | 6:13 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 0 | 0 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 6 | 5:08 | 0:51 | 2:01 | 0 | 0 |
 Joel RechliczWSH | 2 | 1:49 | 0:55 | 0:59 | 0 | 0 |