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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 3, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (OT)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Tlusty, saved by Garon
  3. P1 2:03Shot by LaRose, saved by Garon
  4. P1 3:08Shot by Shannon, saved by Ward
  5. P1 3:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  6. P1 5:58Goal by Wallace (Shannon)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Staal, Tlusty, McBain, Boychuk · TBL Hall, Gervais, Shannon, Mikkelson, Wallace

  7. P1 8:57Shot by Connolly, saved by Ward
  8. P1 10:48Shot by Tlusty, saved by Garon
  9. P1 11:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon
  10. P1 11:56Shot by Gervais, saved by Ward
  11. P1 12:07Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  12. P1 12:53Shot by Allen, saved by Garon
  13. P1 13:04Shot by Sutter, saved by Garon
  14. P1 15:16Shot by Brent, saved by Garon
  15. P1 15:41Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  16. P1 18:11Shot by Sutter, saved by Garon
  17. P1 18:46Shot by Clark, saved by Ward
  18. P1 19:06Malone: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner · TBL Clark, Malone, Gervais, Stamkos, Connolly

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:01Commodore: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Brent, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Commodore, Hall, Pyatt

  22. P2 1:13Shot by Clark, saved by Ward5v4
  23. P2 1:54Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward5v4
  24. P2 2:33Shot by Boychuk, saved by Garon5v4
  25. P2 4:16Shot by Tlusty, saved by Garon
  26. P2 5:23Goal by Stewart (Staal, Spacek)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Staal, Stewart, Tlusty, McBain · TBL Brewer, Malone, Shannon, Lee, Pyatt

  27. P2 6:17Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  28. P2 8:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  29. P2 13:31Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  30. P2 14:14Shot by Faulk, saved by Garon
  31. P2 14:15Shot by Tlusty, saved by Garon
  32. P2 15:02Goal by Jokinen, unassisted+23 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Hall, Thompson, Wyman, Mikkelson

  33. P2 16:09Shot by Stewart, saved by Garon
  34. P2 16:18Goal by Stewart (Staal, Tlusty)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Stewart, Tlusty · TBL St. Louis, Commodore, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos

  35. P2 16:31Shot by Malone, saved by Ward
  36. P2 18:00Goal by Stamkos, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Stewart, McBain, Sutter, Bowman · TBL Commodore, Shannon, Mikkelson, Wallace, Stamkos

  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:19Shot by Bowman, saved by Garon
  40. P3 1:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  41. P3 3:15Tlusty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Brent, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · TBL Clark, Brewer, Malone, Pyatt, Connolly

  42. P3 5:28Staal: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · TBL Brewer, Gervais, Shannon, Pyatt, Stamkos, Connolly

  43. P3 5:28LaRose: Hooking (2 min)4v6

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Staal, Tlusty, Faulk · TBL Brewer, Gervais, Shannon, Pyatt, Stamkos, Connolly

  44. P3 6:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward3v5
  45. P3 7:24Goal by Purcell (St. Louis, Malone)3v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Sutter · TBL St. Louis, Hall, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos

  46. P3 9:25Shot by Stewart, saved by Garon
  47. P3 9:33Shot by Sutter, saved by Garon
  48. P3 10:07Shot by McBain, saved by Garon
  49. P3 11:09Shot by Stewart, saved by Garon
  50. P3 12:03Shot by Gleason, saved by Garon
  51. P3 12:24Shot by Jokinen, saved by Garon
  52. P3 13:00Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  53. P3 15:15Shot by Wyman, saved by Ward
  54. P3 15:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon
  55. P3 18:33Shot by Harrison, saved by Garon
  56. P3 19:05Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. OT 0:00Period start
  59. OT 0:15Shot by Staal, saved by Garon4v4
  60. OT 0:32Shot by Tlusty, saved by Garon4v4
  61. OT 0:57Shot by Clark, saved by Ward4v4
  62. OT 1:03Shot by Nodl, saved by Garon4v4
  63. OT 1:05Sutter: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Nodl, Sutter, Faulk · TBL Clark, Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos

  64. OT 2:41Goal by Stamkos (Purcell)3v4+52 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos

  65. OT 2:41Period end
  66. OT 2:41Final