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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 3, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Purcell–StamkosHall–Thompson–WymanMalone–Pyatt–ConnollySt. Louis–Shannon–WallaceSt. Louis–Malone–PyattHall–Thompson–ShannonShannon–Wallace–ConnollyShannon–Pyatt–ConnollyClark–BrewerCommodore–LeeGervais–MikkelsonBrewer–MikkelsonCommodore–AulieBrewer–AulieBrewer–LeeGervais–LeeBrewer–GervaisClark–GervaisGervais–AulieCommodore–MikkelsonCommodore–GervaisClark–Commodore
Nodl–Sutter–Bowman9:100.35–0.110:430.00–0.001:420.00–0.001:580.04–0.002:080.00–0.112:130.08–0.001:190.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Jokinen–LaRose–Skinner2:200.11–0.032:280.10–0.001:220.01–0.001:250.06–0.041:020.21–0.002:170.03–0.001:310.01–0.000:460.11–0.000:580.00–0.000:310.00–0.041:180.10–0.010:570.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Staal–Stewart–Tlusty1:220.18–0.191:150.00–0.021:300.00–0.190:470.00–0.071:260.00–0.381:440.18–0.030:430.15–0.020:340.00–0.071:060.00–0.00
Staal–Tlusty–Boychuk0:370.00–0.042:590.13–0.041:290.27–0.001:260.13–0.001:030.00–0.10
Jokinen–Brent–Skinner0:300.00–0.000:460.00–0.011:480.01–0.01
Brent–Staal–Boychuk0:570.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Brent–Nodl–Sutter0:450.00–0.00
Allen–Gleason11:530.71–0.311:370.00–0.030:500.00–0.002:410.01–0.333:190.23–0.002:560.01–0.092:040.08–0.001:240.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:310.00–0.000:510.00–0.010:450.00–0.00
Harrison–Faulk1:570.00–0.042:490.13–0.044:130.04–0.051:270.00–0.001:140.06–0.040:460.00–0.072:110.31–0.011:090.03–0.002:230.00–0.031:490.13–0.001:100.00–0.001:200.04–0.011:230.00–0.000:340.00–0.041:330.00–0.171:100.04–0.05
Spacek–McBain4:300.11–0.051:160.10–0.001:030.00–0.003:100.18–0.002:190.01–0.031:310.11–0.000:450.00–0.000:450.10–0.000:450.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBoychuk FStaal FTlusty FNodl FSutter FBowman FJokinen FSkinner FLaRose FBrent FStewart FFaulk DHarrison DAllen DGleason DMcBain DSpacek DJoslin DWard GHall FWyman FThompson FPurcell FSt. Louis FStamkos FPyatt FMalone FConnolly FWallace FShannon FBrewer DMikkelson DClark DGervais DLee DCommodore DAulie DGaron G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Martin St. LouisTBL2527:561:072:0232
Eric BrewerTBL3327:250:501:4114
Steven StamkosTBL2725:150:561:5641
Bryan AllenCAR3024:320:491:3523
Eric StaalCAR3224:290:462:1332
Tim GleasonCAR3024:150:491:3523
Teddy PurcellTBL2423:340:591:5652
Justin FaulkCAR3222:530:431:4044
Jay HarrisonCAR3121:290:421:2624
Ryan MaloneTBL2620:500:482:1542
Jeff SkinnerCAR2419:400:491:4052
Jiri TlustyCAR2619:260:451:2540
Brandon SutterCAR3019:180:391:0723
Jussi JokinenCAR2718:470:421:2164
Tom PyattTBL2418:370:471:2322
Mike CommodoreTBL2417:060:431:1815
Chad LaRoseCAR2116:180:471:2242
Bruno GervaisTBL2216:100:441:5032
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1816:100:542:0532
Adam HallTBL2216:090:441:5627
Brett ClarkTBL2615:480:361:0904
Jamie McBainCAR1915:400:491:2861
Brian LeeTBL1915:390:491:3413
Drayson BowmanCAR2215:030:411:0920
Andreas NodlCAR2514:560:361:0322
Nate ThompsonTBL2214:380:401:0318
Jaroslav SpacekCAR1813:380:451:1251
Brett ConnollyTBL1913:040:411:2321
JT WymanTBL1912:070:381:0314
Anthony StewartCAR1812:010:401:3110
Tim BrentCAR1410:540:472:0121
Ryan ShannonTBL1410:460:461:2500
Keith AulieTBL128:540:451:2810
Zach BoychukCAR97:380:511:0410
Tim WallaceTBL106:500:411:0600
Derek JoslinCAR22:151:081:2800