Sat, Mar 3, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
9%
42%
CAR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 27:56 | 0.14 | 33.5% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 27:25 | 0.02 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25:15 | 0.73 | 40.5% | +65.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 23:34 | 0.16 | 39.5% | +79.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.19 | 35.6% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.51 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.07 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.09 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.08 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.05 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.23 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.02 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.01 | 52.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.18 | 59.9% | +14.6 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.38 | −0.6 | 62:27 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:32 | 0.01 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:29 | 0.14 | 48.5% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:15 | 0.01 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.02 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.05 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.06 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:26 | 0.40 | 46.4% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.17 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.34 | 83.9% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.10 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.30 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.13 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.11 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.00 | 64.0% | +21.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 12:01 | 0.36 | 43.0% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:38 | 0.18 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.48 | −1.5 | 62:41 |