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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 13, 2012·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Florida Panthers 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Florida Panthers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 0:56Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 0:59Goal by Bergenheim (Samuelsson, Ellerby)+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Samuelsson, Weaver, Goc, Bergenheim, Ellerby · TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  5. P1 1:30Shot by Ashton, saved by Theodore
  6. P1 1:38Shot by Kopecky, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 4:57Shot by Lombardi, saved by Theodore
  8. P1 5:16Rosehill: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Madden, Barch, Smithson, Garrison · TOR Liles, Lombardi, Komisarek, Rosehill, Frattin

  9. P1 5:16Barch: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Madden, Barch, Smithson, Garrison · TOR Liles, Lombardi, Komisarek, Rosehill, Frattin

  10. P1 5:29MacArthur: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Wolski, Garrison · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  11. P1 8:20Shot by Schenn, saved by Theodore
  12. P1 9:00Shot by Goc, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 9:04Shot by Garrison, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 12:19Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 14:14Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore
  16. P1 17:46Shot by Goc, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 18:22Shot by Kopecky, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 19:33Shot by Kopecky, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 19:57Garrison: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Weiss, Fleischmann, Garrison · TOR Komisarek, Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Ashton

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:25Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Theodore4v5
  23. P2 3:31Shot by Rosehill, saved by Theodore
  24. P2 6:18Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 10:03Shot by Ashton, saved by Theodore
  26. P2 11:52Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  27. P2 12:03Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  28. P2 12:42Ashton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Weaver, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  29. P2 12:54Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Reimer5v4
  30. P2 14:31Shot by Kopecky, saved by Reimer5v4
  31. P2 14:43Goal by Garrison (Goc, Wolski)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Goc, Wolski, Garrison · TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Ashton

  32. P2 15:28Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  33. P2 16:22Shot by MacArthur, saved by Theodore
  34. P2 17:00Shot by Kulemin, saved by Theodore
  35. P2 18:14Shot by Rosehill, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 19:00Shot by MacArthur, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 19:02Goal by Bozak (MacArthur, Kessel)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Wolski, Garrison · TOR Liles, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Bozak

  38. P2 19:14Shot by Ellerby, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 3:43Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  42. P3 4:14Shot by Wolski, saved by Reimer
  43. P3 4:39Shot by Komisarek, saved by Theodore
  44. P3 4:58Shot by Grabovski, saved by Theodore
  45. P3 5:17Ashton: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Weiss, Santorelli, Gudbranson · TOR Connolly, Steckel, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  46. P3 6:02Shot by Garrison, saved by Reimer5v4
  47. P3 6:07Goal by Kopecky (Garrison, Jovanovski)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Goc, Wolski, Garrison · TOR Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  48. P3 6:51Shot by Garrison, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 7:17Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Reimer
  50. P3 8:07Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 8:14Shot by Goc, saved by Reimer
  52. P3 9:59Shot by MacArthur, saved by Theodore
  53. P3 10:12Bozak: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Madden, Barch, Santorelli, Gudbranson · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  54. P3 10:19Shot by Garrison, saved by Reimer5v4
  55. P3 10:28Goal by Goc (Wolski)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Wolski, Garrison · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson

  56. P3 11:40Ashton: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Grabovski, Frattin, Ashton

  57. P3 11:40Matthias: Instigator (2 min)3v4

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Grabovski, Frattin, Ashton

  58. P3 11:40Matthias: Fighting (5 min)3v4

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Grabovski, Frattin, Ashton

  59. P3 11:40Matthias: Misconduct (10 min)3v4

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Santorelli, Matthias, Ellerby · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Grabovski, Frattin, Ashton

  60. P3 11:50Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore4v5
  61. P3 12:13Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore4v5
  62. P3 13:05Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Theodore4v5
  63. P3 13:48Shot by Schenn, saved by Theodore
  64. P3 13:50Goal by Grabovski (Schenn, MacArthur)+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Goc, Fleischmann, Santorelli, Ellerby · TOR Liles, MacArthur, Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn

  65. P3 13:59Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 15:12Shot by Madden, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 17:29Shot by Kessel, saved by Theodore
  68. P3 17:52Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 18:18Shot by Frattin, saved by Theodore
  70. P3 18:21Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore5v6
  71. P3 18:40Goal by Bergenheim (Kopecky)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Bergenheim, Ellerby · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final