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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 13, 2012·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacArthur–Kessel–BozakMacArthur–Grabovski–KuleminConnolly–Kessel–BozakSteckel–Crabb–AshtonGrabovski–Kulemin–FrattinConnolly–Steckel–AshtonLombardi–Rosehill–FrattinLombardi–Crabb–RosehillLombardi–Crabb–AshtonSteckel–Kessel–AshtonPhaneuf–GunnarssonSchenn–GardinerLiles–KomisarekLiles–GardinerPhaneuf–GardinerLiles–SchennKomisarek–PhaneufLiles–GunnarssonKomisarek–Gardiner
Weiss–Fleischmann–Wolski1:570.09–0.211:420.00–0.221:390.02–0.000:480.01–0.001:220.05–0.200:300.00–0.006:190.17–0.221:210.02–0.001:130.01–0.200:360.00–0.000:480.00–0.03
Samuelsson–Goc–Bergenheim1:210.00–0.142:510.10–0.060:310.36–0.001:030.00–0.000:420.00–0.031:100.08–0.000:350.00–0.141:250.00–0.072:560.09–0.002:360.10–0.310:580.00–0.040:500.00–0.00
Madden–Barch–Smithson0:340.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:370.00–0.001:380.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:300.00–0.002:330.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Kopecky–Santorelli–Matthias0:380.00–0.002:190.00–0.070:350.10–0.000:330.00–0.000:550.00–0.032:160.05–0.041:040.00–0.00
Smithson–Kopecky–Matthias1:140.02–0.000:500.00–0.001:290.00–0.011:090.00–0.030:300.00–0.00
Madden–Smithson–Matthias1:190.00–0.111:170.00–0.05
Madden–Barch–Santorelli0:370.00–0.060:380.00–0.00
Weaver–Ellerby3:430.04–0.212:300.00–0.061:250.36–0.002:310.09–0.201:130.00–0.011:270.00–0.002:450.09–0.113:420.02–0.073:520.00–0.260:410.02–0.000:430.02–0.002:150.00–0.250:510.00–0.00
Campbell–Garrison2:070.09–0.352:520.43–0.222:040.00–0.120:320.00–0.000:300.00–0.006:010.42–0.262:340.12–0.191:520.03–0.040:560.00–0.07
Jovanovski–Gudbranson0:580.00–0.061:320.02–0.002:410.01–0.080:510.17–0.000:320.00–0.141:560.00–0.030:450.00–0.000:330.00–0.002:260.03–0.103:490.13–0.041:460.00–0.170:470.05–0.041:320.02–0.00
Weaver–Garrison1:050.00–0.000:520.00–0.001:030.00–0.001:060.00–0.00
Campbell–Ellerby0:310.02–0.000:410.00–0.031:120.00–0.030:420.02–0.00
Campbell–Weaver0:320.00–0.030:390.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBergenheim FSamuelsson FGoc FWolski FWeiss FFleischmann FSantorelli FMatthias FKopecky FMadden FBarch FSmithson FCampbell DGarrison DEllerby DWeaver DGudbranson DJovanovski DTheodore GMacArthur FKulemin FGrabovski FConnolly FBozak FKessel FSteckel FAshton FCrabb FLombardi FRosehill FFrattin FPhaneuf DGunnarsson DKomisarek DLiles DSchenn DGardiner DReimer G
FLATORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dion PhaneufTOR3324:450:451:2245
Jake GardinerTOR2724:360:552:0443
Mike WeaverFLA2824:340:533:0823
Brian CampbellFLA2422:230:563:0960
Phil KesselTOR2721:110:471:4232
Keaton EllerbyFLA2220:370:561:5631
Carl GunnarssonTOR2820:350:441:1104
Stephen WeissFLA2320:340:541:3032
Jason GarrisonFLA2720:270:451:3942
John-Michael LilesTOR2920:070:421:4413
Wojtek WolskiFLA2319:440:511:3030
Tyler BozakTOR2719:190:431:4222
Tomas FleischmannFLA2218:040:491:2931
Tomas KopeckyFLA2518:030:431:2252
Marcel GocFLA2517:370:421:2633
Clarke MacArthurTOR2117:270:501:5311
Ed JovanovskiFLA2417:030:431:3312
Tim ConnollyTOR2416:410:421:4042
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2016:370:501:2513
Mike KomisarekTOR2315:450:411:4013
Mikael SamuelssonFLA2014:530:451:4241
Sean BergenheimFLA2214:420:401:2443
Matt FrattinTOR2014:260:431:1105
Luke SchennTOR2114:120:411:2011
David SteckelTOR2213:510:381:3254
Nikolay KuleminTOR1813:370:451:4312
Jerred SmithsonFLA2313:090:341:1652
Erik GudbransonFLA1913:080:411:3400
Carter AshtonTOR1812:310:421:3740
Joey CrabbTOR2212:150:331:1226
John MaddenFLA1811:500:391:3411
Shawn MatthiasFLA1711:370:411:2230
Matthew LombardiTOR1611:140:421:0904
Mike SantorelliFLA159:100:371:2212
Krys BarchFLA128:250:421:2230
Jay RosehillTOR106:070:370:5302