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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 19, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

7

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:39Shot by Pominville, saved by Tokarski
  3. P1 3:49Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
  4. P1 6:56Shot by Segal, saved by Miller
  5. P1 8:47Shot by Pyatt, saved by Miller
  6. P1 9:39Shot by Tropp, saved by Tokarski
  7. P1 11:31Goal by Stafford (Ehrhoff)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Mikkelson, Pyatt, Aulie · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno

  8. P1 11:50Shot by Stafford, saved by Tokarski
  9. P1 11:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Tokarski
  10. P1 12:06Shot by Ennis, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 13:29Shot by Sekera, saved by Tokarski
  12. P1 13:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Tokarski
  13. P1 15:10Hedman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno

  14. P1 15:50Goal by Pominville (Hodgson, Vanek)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Gervais, Wyman, Pyatt · BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson

  15. P1 16:53Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  16. P1 18:46Shot by Brewer, saved by Miller
  17. P1 19:59Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:09Goal by Foligno (Ennis, Stafford)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos, Connolly · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno

  21. P2 2:17Shot by Connolly, saved by Miller
  22. P2 3:08Shot by Sekera, saved by Tokarski
  23. P2 3:36Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
  24. P2 3:49Shot by Roy, saved by Tokarski
  25. P2 5:11Shot by Tropp, saved by Tokarski
  26. P2 5:11Shot by Tropp, saved by Tokarski
  27. P2 6:03Shot by Mikkelson, saved by Miller
  28. P2 6:04Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  29. P2 6:20Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
  30. P2 7:12Goal by Gervais (Purcell)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Gervais, Purcell, Aulie, Stamkos, Connolly · BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Foligno

  31. P2 8:16Goal by Tropp (Vanek, Hodgson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Gervais, Smith, Aulie · BUF Leopold, Vanek, Weber, Tropp, Hodgson

  32. P2 10:12Stamkos: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Segal, Labrie, Stamkos, Hedman · BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Leino

  33. P2 10:26Shot by Sekera, saved by Roloson4v5
  34. P2 10:31Shot by Leopold, saved by Roloson4v5
  35. P2 12:03Shot by Vanek, saved by Roloson4v5
  36. P2 13:07Shot by Ennis, saved by Roloson
  37. P2 14:14Goal by Smith (Malone, Gervais)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Gervais, Smith · BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Sulzer, Leino

  38. P2 14:32Shot by Hodgson, saved by Roloson
  39. P2 15:49Connolly: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos, Connolly · BUF Regehr, Boyes, Pominville, McCormick, Sekera, Kaleta

  40. P2 15:56Shot by Ennis, saved by Roloson4v5
  41. P2 16:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Roloson4v5
  42. P2 16:22Goal by Foligno (Stafford, Ennis)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Wyman, Pyatt, Aulie · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis, Foligno

  43. P2 16:21Shot by Stafford, saved by Roloson4v5
  44. P2 16:59Shot by McCormick, saved by Roloson
  45. P2 17:00Goal by Boyes (McCormick, Sulzer)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Gervais, Mikkelson, Smith · BUF Boyes, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Sulzer, Kaleta

  46. P2 17:11Regehr: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman, Connolly · BUF Regehr, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis, Foligno

  47. P2 17:53Shot by Malone, saved by Miller5v4
  48. P2 18:49Shot by Malone, saved by Miller5v4
  49. P2 19:37Shot by Sekera, saved by Roloson
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:17Goal by Pominville, unassisted+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Smith, Hedman · BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Sekera, Leino

  53. P3 2:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Roloson
  54. P3 3:04Shot by Sekera, saved by Roloson
  55. P3 3:21Shot by Leopold, saved by Roloson
  56. P3 4:22Segal: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Segal, Lee, Aulie, Labrie, Stamkos · BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Stafford, Ennis, Foligno

  57. P3 4:39Shot by Pominville, saved by Roloson4v5
  58. P3 4:54Shot by Roy, saved by Roloson4v5
  59. P3 4:58Shot by Hodgson, saved by Roloson4v5
  60. P3 5:14Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Roloson4v5
  61. P3 5:37Shot by Leopold, saved by Roloson4v5
  62. P3 5:57Shot by Stafford, saved by Roloson4v5
  63. P3 6:10Shot by Wallace, saved by Miller4v5
  64. P3 6:10Sekera: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, Pyatt, Wallace · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis, Foligno

  65. P3 6:46Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller5v4
  66. P3 7:05Shot by Purcell, saved by Miller5v4
  67. P3 9:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Roloson
  68. P3 10:37Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  69. P3 10:43Shot by Mikkelson, saved by Miller
  70. P3 11:33Shot by Malone, saved by Miller
  71. P3 12:11Shot by Labrie, saved by Miller
  72. P3 13:26Shot by Wyman, saved by Miller
  73. P3 14:17Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
  74. P3 14:57Goal by Malone (Brewer)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Smith, Hedman · BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Tropp, Hodgson

  75. P3 17:56Shot by Labrie, saved by Miller
  76. P3 17:56Shot by Labrie, saved by Miller
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final