Mon, Mar 19, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.
15%
72%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:18 | 0.02 | 54.2% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 21:42 | 0.12 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.07 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.06 | 54.6% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.13 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 17:30 | 0.61 | 57.1% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17:14 | 0.39 | 52.6% | +14.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.32 | 55.4% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0.42 | 60.1% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.14 | 55.7% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.13 | 47.1% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:54 | 0.62 | 61.2% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.43 | 90.1% | +2.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.25 | 85.7% | +2.6 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 1.96 | −1.0 | 59:23 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.04 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 7 | 23:01 | 0.37 | 31.4% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:53 | 0.04 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:46 | 0.20 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.12 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.18 | 37.9% | +8.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.15 | 32.0% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.13 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.03 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.06 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.07 | 22.7% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:00 | 0.03 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.15 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:31 | 0.32 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:20 | 0.06 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.30 | −0.7 | 31:44 | |
| L | 15 | 11 | 4 | .733 | 1.41 | −2.6 | 28:16 |