Mon, Mar 19, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 7, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.
15%
72%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stafford–Ennis–Foligno | Roy–Pominville–Leino | Vanek–Tropp–Hodgson | Boyes–McCormick–Kaleta | Ehrhoff–Sulzer | Leopold–Sekera | Regehr–Sekera | Regehr–Weber | Ehrhoff–Weber | Leopold–Weber | Leopold–Sulzer | Regehr–Sulzer | Ehrhoff–Sekera | Sulzer–Weber | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Malone–Smith | 1:030.02–0.00 | 4:540.18–0.26 | 2:320.03–0.17 | 1:220.06–0.44 | 3:500.11–0.50 | 2:410.04–0.12 | 1:470.02–0.17 | 1:170.10–0.00 | ||||||
| Purcell–Stamkos–Connolly | 1:570.00–0.19 | 1:360.01–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.12 | 1:490.08–0.15 | 1:210.00–0.05 | 1:490.00–0.08 | 0:450.00–0.04 | ||||||
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 1:460.02–0.04 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:430.02–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:420.12–0.04 | ||||||
| Malone–Pyatt–Connolly | 2:190.00–0.19 | 1:470.02–0.00 | 0:310.13–0.00 | 1:440.13–0.15 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Wyman–Pyatt–Wallace | 0:460.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.14 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.03 | ||||||||
| Wyman–Wallace–Smith | 1:190.07–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:250.07–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Segal–Wallace–Labrie | 0:440.02–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Segal–Pyatt–Labrie | 0:510.04–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:510.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Pyatt–Smith–Connolly | 0:460.00–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||
| Segal–Wyman–Labrie | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Segal–Smith–Labrie | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Wyman–Purcell–Stamkos | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Segal–Labrie–Connolly | 1:010.32–0.03 | 1:010.32–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Segal–Labrie–Stamkos | ||||||||||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 3:300.34–0.07 | 6:450.14–0.25 | 3:070.03–0.04 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 4:330.42–0.09 | 3:360.02–0.19 | 2:310.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:250.06–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.04 | |||
| Clark–Lee | 3:260.02–0.19 | 0:540.06–0.00 | 2:170.07–0.14 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:290.07–0.15 | 0:450.00–0.05 | 1:420.00–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:180.12–0.00 | 1:300.02–0.09 | ||||
| Lee–Aulie | 0:440.02–0.22 | 1:330.00–0.01 | 1:000.02–0.01 | 1:260.03–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Mikkelson–Aulie | 1:450.00–0.25 | 0:530.13–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:050.13–0.25 | ||||||||||
| Gervais–Mikkelson | 0:340.01–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.45 | 1:110.01–0.44 | 0:380.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Clark–Gervais | 0:470.00–0.12 | 1:370.00–0.08 | 1:080.00–0.04 | 0:550.00–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Gervais–Aulie | 1:020.10–0.00 | 0:440.13–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Clark–Mikkelson | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Brewer–Aulie | 0:590.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Gervais–Hedman | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Mikkelson–Hedman | 0:360.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Brewer–Gervais | 0:410.00–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Eric BrewerTBL | 26 | 23:06 | 0:53 | 2:17 | 3 | 7 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 28 | 23:01 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 2 | 7 |
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 23 | 22:18 | 0:58 | 1:40 | 3 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 21:53 | 0:49 | 2:17 | 4 | 8 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 24 | 21:46 | 0:54 | 2:01 | 6 | 4 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 27 | 21:42 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 21:13 | 0:55 | 2:12 | 6 | 2 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 21 | 20:27 | 0:58 | 2:03 | 5 | 3 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 23 | 19:09 | 0:50 | 2:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 22 | 18:55 | 0:52 | 2:12 | 7 | 3 |
 Alexander SulzerBUF | 21 | 18:31 | 0:53 | 1:40 | 2 | 4 |
 Trevor SmithTBL | 23 | 18:00 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 4 |
 Derek RoyBUF | 20 | 17:31 | 0:53 | 2:03 | 4 | 4 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 23 | 17:31 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 22 | 17:30 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 5 | 2 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 20 | 17:28 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 1 | 3 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 21 | 17:14 | 0:49 | 2:03 | 4 | 4 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 21 | 17:07 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 5 | 2 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 20 | 16:57 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 0 | 5 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 22 | 16:48 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 21 | 16:16 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 5 | 2 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 20 | 16:08 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 4 | 1 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 20 | 15:35 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 19 | 15:25 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Ville LeinoBUF | 19 | 15:19 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 3 | 4 |
 Corey TroppBUF | 19 | 13:54 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 18 | 13:43 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 JT WymanTBL | 16 | 12:12 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 0 | 5 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 17 | 12:10 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 17 | 11:21 | 0:40 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 13 | 11:00 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 18 | 10:57 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Tim WallaceTBL | 14 | 10:28 | 0:45 | 1:06 | 0 | 3 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 16 | 9:58 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL | 14 | 9:31 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 0 | 0 |
 Brandon SegalTBL | 13 | 9:20 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 0 | 1 |