Sat, Mar 24, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 71% of the time.
21%
9%
8%
63%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:41 | 0.28 | 60.5% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:13 | 0.07 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.03 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.04 | 67.5% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.66 | 62.8% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.08 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:44 | 0.48 | 64.2% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.03 | 52.2% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.20 | 48.7% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14:31 | 0.36 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:09 | 0.42 | 45.5% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:46 | 0.18 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.10 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.09 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.10 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.06 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 1.94 | −2.1 | 58:35 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:12 | 0.14 | 35.4% | +31.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 22:27 | 0.60 | 44.4% | +63.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:11 | 0.22 | 27.7% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.02 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.08 | 56.7% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.02 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.18 | 43.3% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.01 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:39 | 0.12 | 48.0% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.10 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.29 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.06 | 26.7% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.01 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 59.7% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:47 | 0.09 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.19 | +0.2 | 59:58 |