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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 24, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mark StreitD · #20110325:410.2860.5%+28.9
Travis HamonicD · #3000−2321:130.0757.8%0.0
Dylan ReeseD · #42000−1220:570.0352.9%0.0
Andrew MacDonaldD · #47011−1120:140.0467.5%+28.9
John TavaresC · #91011−1419:590.6662.8%+13.1
PA ParenteauRW · #150000219:180.0864.2%0.0
Matt MoulsonLW · #26112−1318:440.4864.2%+42.0
Josh BaileyRW · #120110117:060.0352.2%+24.8
Frans NielsenC · #511120116:470.2048.7%+37.8
Mark EatonD · #40000015:350.0070.9%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #170000614:310.3667.1%0.0
Kyle OkposoRW · #211010414:090.4245.5%+24.8
Steve StaiosD · #240000013:490.0056.3%0.0
Marty ReasonerC · #160000312:460.1866.6%0.0
Michael GrabnerLW · #40000−1112:440.1047.4%0.0
David UllstromLW · #41000−2011:010.0953.9%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #250000210:360.1067.7%0.0
Casey CizikasC · #53000−1110:150.0654.7%0.0
Al Montoya#35L26224.8461.94−2.158:35

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Martin St. LouisRW · #26022+2123:120.1435.4%+31.4
Steven StamkosC · #91213+3622:270.6044.4%+63.6
Tom PyattLW · #11101−1322:110.2227.7%+34.7
Victor HedmanD · #770000020:430.0029.0%0.0
Eric BrewerD · #2000+2120:410.0235.0%0.0
Teddy PurcellLW · #16022+2219:500.0856.7%+31.4
Brett ClarkD · #7000+2118:590.0261.5%0.0
Ryan MaloneLW · #120110218:540.1843.3%+34.7
Bruno GervaisD · #27000−1018:480.0157.2%0.0
Brian LeeD · #15000+1015:460.0035.6%0.0
Brett ConnollyRW · #140110415:390.1248.0%+34.7
Trevor SmithC · #240000214:170.1023.8%0.0
JT WymanRW · #34000−1214:070.2930.0%0.0
Tim WallaceRW · #201010113:130.0626.7%+32.2
Brendan MikkelsonD · #290000111:410.0122.1%0.0
Keith AulieD · #30000010:100.0041.7%0.0
Pierre-Cedric LabrieLW · #76011+108:230.0059.7%+32.2
Brandon SegalRW · #21000006:470.0948.7%0.0
Dwayne Roloson#30W37343.9193.19+0.259:58