Sat, Mar 24, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 71% of the time.
21%
9%
8%
63%
TBL winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Parenteau–Moulson–Tavares | Nielsen–Okposo–Bailey | Reasoner–Martin–Niederreiter | Grabner–Ullstrom–Cizikas | Streit–Reese | MacDonald–Hamonic | Staios–Eaton | Eaton–Reese | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 1:190.07–0.05 | 3:250.21–0.12 | 3:460.11–0.11 | 2:290.10–0.06 | 2:530.15–0.06 | 4:190.21–0.00 | 3:530.07–0.29 | 0:540.06–0.00 |
| Malone–Pyatt–Connolly | 2:270.21–0.17 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:150.20–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.17 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||
| St. Louis–Pyatt–Stamkos | 1:380.00–0.23 | 1:090.01–0.27 | 1:300.01–0.23 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||
| Wyman–Wallace–Smith | 0:570.04–0.18 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.09 | 0:590.00–0.27 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:110.04–0.00 | ||
| Pyatt–Wallace–Connolly | 0:580.03–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.08 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.08 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||
| Wyman–Pyatt–Smith | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.09 | |||||
| Malone–Segal–Labrie | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.02 | |||||
| Malone–Pyatt–Smith | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||
| Segal–Wyman–Labrie | 0:540.09–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 0:460.09–0.00 | |||||
| Segal–Smith–Labrie | 1:250.09–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.09–0.00 | |||||
| Wyman–Wallace–Labrie | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Malone–Wallace–Connolly | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Malone–Purcell–Connolly | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 5:080.11–0.56 | 0:340.10–0.00 | 3:030.10–0.47 | 1:390.00–0.19 | 1:590.11–0.05 | |||
| Clark–Lee | 3:190.13–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.11 | 1:360.01–0.06 | 1:340.01–0.06 | 1:170.11–0.00 | 2:420.04–0.11 | ||
| Gervais–Hedman | 1:500.00–0.08 | 2:080.04–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.09 | 3:140.06–0.17 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||
| Clark–Brewer | 3:200.38–0.26 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 3:050.38–0.00 | 1:210.06–0.07 | ||||
| Gervais–Aulie | 0:500.04–0.00 | 1:010.09–0.00 | 1:390.09–0.04 | 1:100.01–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 1:310.18–0.00 | 1:100.01–0.00 | |
| Gervais–Mikkelson | 1:310.06–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.05 | 0:420.06–0.00 | ||
| Lee–Mikkelson | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:190.01–0.27 | 0:440.01–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.11 | ||||
| Brewer–Lee | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.12 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.12 | |||
| Brewer–Mikkelson | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:380.05–0.00 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||
| Mikkelson–Aulie | 0:560.00–0.06 | 1:240.00–0.11 | ||||||
| Brewer–Aulie | 1:010.00–0.20 | 1:170.00–0.08 | ||||||
| Lee–Hedman | 0:350.10–0.00 | 0:440.10–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mark StreitNYI | 24 | 25:41 | 1:04 | 3:38 | 2 | 1 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 21 | 23:12 | 1:06 | 1:49 | 4 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 22:27 | 0:59 | 1:32 | 4 | 3 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 22 | 22:11 | 1:01 | 2:10 | 3 | 5 |
 Travis HamonicNYI | 24 | 21:13 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 6 | 2 |
 Dylan ReeseNYI | 25 | 20:57 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 21 | 20:43 | 0:59 | 1:42 | 4 | 4 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 25 | 20:41 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 1 | 6 |
 Andrew MacDonaldNYI | 23 | 20:14 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 5 | 3 |
 John TavaresNYI | 20 | 19:59 | 1:00 | 1:58 | 5 | 1 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 20 | 19:50 | 1:00 | 1:49 | 4 | 0 |
 PA ParenteauNYI | 20 | 19:18 | 0:58 | 2:16 | 5 | 0 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 25 | 18:59 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 2 | 7 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 19 | 18:54 | 1:00 | 1:45 | 4 | 3 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 20 | 18:48 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt MoulsonNYI | 21 | 18:44 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 21 | 17:06 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 3 | 2 |
 Frans NielsenNYI | 23 | 16:47 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 4 | 4 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 20 | 15:46 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 0 | 3 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 18 | 15:39 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Mark EatonNYI | 19 | 15:35 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 18 | 14:31 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Trevor SmithTBL | 18 | 14:17 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoNYI | 19 | 14:09 | 0:45 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 JT WymanTBL | 18 | 14:07 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 0 | 5 |
 Steve StaiosNYI | 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Tim WallaceTBL | 14 | 13:13 | 0:57 | 2:10 | 0 | 2 |
 Marty ReasonerNYI | 17 | 12:46 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 0 | 4 |
 Michael GrabnerNYI | 20 | 12:44 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 15 | 11:41 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 1 | 0 |
 David UllstromNYI | 15 | 11:01 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Nino NiederreiterNYI | 13 | 10:36 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 0 | 2 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 15 | 10:15 | 0:41 | 0:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 16 | 10:10 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 0 | 1 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL | 12 | 8:23 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Brandon SegalTBL | 10 | 6:47 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 0 | 1 |