Fri, Mar 30, 2012·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 4, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
9%
40%
CGY winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.02 | 49.8% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.04 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:32 | 0.03 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.00 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.08 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.01 | 52.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.06 | 64.4% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.11 | 34.7% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.02 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:37 | 0.49 | 57.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.09 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.14 | 32.2% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.08 | 42.3% | +9.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:47 | 1.08 | 66.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.21 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 11:23 | 0.47 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.03 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 3.01 | +2.0 | 59:54 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:49 | 0.13 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.19 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.10 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.13 | 34.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:48 | 0.18 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.14 | 39.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 17:12 | 0.62 | 44.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.09 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.03 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.13 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.24 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:00 | 0.25 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.02 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.17 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:02 | 0.41 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.19 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 58:11 |