Sat, Apr 7, 2012·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
37%
9%
8%
46%
WPG winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:01 | 0.16 | 47.0% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:48 | 0.58 | 53.0% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.02 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.07 | 76.8% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.24 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.02 | 57.3% | +16.4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 18:51 | 0.41 | 85.7% | +87.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.44 | 75.3% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.01 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.09 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.25 | 86.8% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.27 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.21 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.38 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.01 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.91 | −0.1 | 61:08 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:45 | 0.09 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:37 | 0.01 | 50.2% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 23:13 | 0.29 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.14 | 19.0% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:50 | 0.68 | 19.9% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.26 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.20 | 35.3% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.10 | 37.6% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:50 | 0.37 | 50.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.02 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.04 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 14:29 | 0.65 | 50.4% | +65.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.03 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 53.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.03 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:50 | 0.00 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:19 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 3.18 | −0.8 | 60:28 |