Mon, Jan 21, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:19Shot by Foligno, saved by Scrivens
- P1 2:09Shot by Hecht, saved by Scrivens
- P1 2:34Scott: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, Brown, Fraser · BUF Leopold, Ellis, Sekera, Kaleta, Scott
- P1 2:34Orr: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, Brown, Fraser · BUF Leopold, Ellis, Sekera, Kaleta, Scott
- P1 2:34Liles: Cross checking (2 min)4v4
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, Brown, Fraser · BUF Leopold, Ellis, Sekera, Kaleta, Scott
- P1 2:34Kaleta: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)3v4
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, Brown, Fraser · BUF Leopold, Ellis, Sekera, Kaleta, Scott
- P1 3:57Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
- P1 5:13Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
- P1 6:03Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens
- P1 8:02Shot by Ellis, saved by Scrivens
- P1 8:51Goal by Hodgson (Ehrhoff, Pominville)+20 pts WP
On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Kostka · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson
- P1 9:11Hodgson: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Kostka · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson
- P1 9:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v4
- P1 9:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller5v4
- P1 10:24Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller5v4
- P1 14:24Stafford: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Fraser, Kessel, Bozak · BUF Regehr, Stafford, Myers, Ennis, Foligno
- P1 14:45Myers: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Kostka, Bozak · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Hodgson, Myers
- P1 15:09Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v3
- P1 15:14Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller5v3
- P1 15:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v3
- P1 15:55Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller5v3
- P1 16:01Ott: Closing hand on puck (2 min)5v3
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kostka · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Sulzer
- P1 16:12Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller5v3
- P1 16:34Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v3
- P1 17:13Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller5v4
- P1 17:24Shot by Liles, saved by Miller5v4
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 2:24Shot by Holzer, saved by Miller
- P2 2:59Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
- P2 4:51Goal by Pominville (Vanek)+17 pts WP
On ice: TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Holzer, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson
- P2 5:40Shot by Sekera, saved by Scrivens
- P2 6:04Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
- P2 7:06Gunnarsson: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TOR Komarov, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kadri · BUF Ehrhoff, Ellis, Sulzer, Kaleta, Scott
- P2 8:40Shot by Leopold, saved by Scrivens4v5
- P2 8:59Shot by Stafford, saved by Scrivens4v5
- P2 9:21Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
- P2 9:40Kaleta: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, Fraser, Komarov, Kessel, Bozak · BUF Leopold, Kaleta, Myers, Foligno, Grigorenko
- P2 9:40Kessel: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Liles, Fraser, Komarov, Kessel, Bozak · BUF Leopold, Kaleta, Myers, Foligno, Grigorenko
- P2 11:13Vanek: Tripping (2 min)4v4
On ice: TOR Liles, Grabovski, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson · BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Ennis
- P2 11:46Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 12:52Shot by Liles, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 12:54Shot by Liles, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 13:17Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
- P2 15:15MacArthur: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Kostka · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Hodgson
- P2 15:32Shot by Hodgson, saved by Scrivens4v5
- P2 16:57Shot by Stafford, saved by Scrivens4v5
- P2 17:49Kaleta: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, Phaneuf, Brown · BUF Hecht, Leopold, Ellis, Sekera, Kaleta
- P2 17:49Brown: Misconduct (10 min)5v4
On ice: TOR Liles, Orr, McClement, Phaneuf, Brown · BUF Hecht, Leopold, Ellis, Sekera, Kaleta
- P2 19:30van Riemsdyk: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TOR Komarov, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kostka, Kadri · BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Sulzer, Hodgson
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:18Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens4v5
- P3 1:52Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
- P3 2:51Shot by Vanek, saved by Scrivens
- P3 3:20Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
- P3 3:53Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
- P3 3:57Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
- P3 4:33Shot by Kostka, saved by Miller
- P3 5:41Fraser: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Fraser, Kessel, Bozak · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis, Foligno
- P3 5:41Foligno: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Fraser, Kessel, Bozak · BUF Leopold, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis, Foligno
- P3 7:38Shot by Pominville, saved by Scrivens
- P3 9:43Shot by Pominville, saved by Scrivens
- P3 9:50Shot by Regehr, saved by Scrivens
- P3 10:44Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
- P3 11:26Shot by Liles, saved by Miller
- P3 12:15Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
- P3 13:31Shot by Holzer, saved by Miller
- P3 13:51Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
- P3 14:47Shot by Stafford, saved by Scrivens
- P3 14:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Scrivens
- P3 15:19Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
- P3 17:49Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller6v5
- P3 18:13Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller6v5
- P3 18:14Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller6v5
- P3 18:14Kaleta: Roughing (2 min)6v5
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Kostka, Bozak, Kadri · BUF Hecht, Leopold, Ott, Sekera, Kaleta
- P3 18:18Goal by Kadri (Kostka, Bozak)6v4+6 pts WP
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Kostka, Bozak, Kadri · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Hodgson, Myers
- P3 19:52Hodgson: Tripping (2 min)6v5
On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Kostka, Bozak, Kadri · BUF Regehr, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson
- P3 19:59Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller6v4
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final