Mon, Jan 21, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.
53%
9%
8%
29%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:12 | 0.02 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:02 | 0.90 | 88.4% | +37.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 59.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.01 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:56 | 0.11 | 88.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.31 | 84.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.57 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.17 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.33 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.04 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.10 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.02 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.15 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:37 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:33 | 0.03 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:58 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 3.47 | +2.5 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 28:43 | 0.38 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:02 | 0.08 | 30.0% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22:27 | 0.57 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.15 | 36.7% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.04 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:24 | 0.83 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:28 | 0.25 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.02 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.07 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.48 | 54.7% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.05 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.02 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:19 | 0.08 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:44 | 0.36 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.01 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:28 | 0.08 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:26 | 0.00 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 2.12 | +0.1 | 57:32 |