Mon, Jan 21, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.
53%
9%
8%
29%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pominville–Vanek–Hodgson | Stafford–Ennis–Foligno | Hecht–Ott–Grigorenko | Ellis–Kaleta–Scott | Ott–Stafford–Ennis | Hecht–Stafford–Ennis | Hecht–Ellis–Grigorenko | Hecht–Kaleta–Grigorenko | Leopold–Sekera | Ehrhoff–Sulzer | Regehr–Myers | Leopold–Myers | Regehr–Sekera | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | 5:490.02–0.30 | 0:590.01–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:540.06–0.24 | 4:370.06–0.24 | 2:330.03–0.11 | 2:420.00–0.10 | |||||
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | 1:270.02–0.06 | 3:550.08–0.55 | 2:380.12–0.00 | 4:500.16–0.50 | 2:250.08–0.06 | 2:230.04–0.05 | |||||||
| Komarov–van Riemsdyk–Kadri | 2:310.00–0.00 | 1:480.11–0.00 | 2:260.00–0.15 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 4:320.14–0.15 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | ||||
| Orr–McClement–Brown | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:400.03–0.03 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:420.04–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.00 | 1:470.03–0.03 | ||||||
| McClement–Komarov–Kulemin | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Kostka | 7:140.00–0.23 | 2:030.00–0.01 | 0:450.04–0.00 | 4:140.05–0.01 | 2:530.00–0.14 | 4:100.04–0.10 | 0:310.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Holzer–Gunnarsson | 0:340.04–0.09 | 2:010.09–0.35 | 4:570.12–0.15 | 1:280.07–0.00 | 3:450.10–0.34 | 3:140.18–0.15 | 2:500.05–0.02 | ||||||
| Liles–Fraser | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:310.00–0.19 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 2:150.00–0.16 | 1:400.00–0.04 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | ||||
| Liles–Phaneuf | 0:370.00–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.06 | 1:370.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Liles–Gunnarsson | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gunnarsson–Kostka | 0:430.02–0.07 | 0:340.03–0.03 | 0:570.04–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Liles–Kostka | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:400.04–0.24 | 0:400.04–0.24 | ||||||||||
| Liles–Holzer | 0:570.01–0.00 | 1:110.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 31 | 28:43 | 0:56 | 3:03 | 7 | 4 |
 Michael KostkaTOR | 29 | 27:02 | 0:56 | 2:53 | 6 | 3 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 27 | 25:12 | 0:56 | 2:25 | 3 | 6 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 26 | 22:27 | 0:52 | 2:35 | 6 | 1 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 27 | 22:02 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 4 | 8 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 29 | 21:19 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 8 | 4 |
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 23 | 21:01 | 0:55 | 2:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 24 | 20:33 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 24 | 20:24 | 0:51 | 2:35 | 7 | 1 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 24 | 20:06 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 2 | 4 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 26 | 18:56 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 5 | 7 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 23 | 18:52 | 0:49 | 2:04 | 5 | 4 |
 John-Michael LilesTOR | 22 | 18:28 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 22 | 18:19 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 24 | 18:06 | 0:45 | 2:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 22 | 18:01 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 21 | 17:46 | 0:51 | 1:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 22 | 17:42 | 0:48 | 2:23 | 0 | 5 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 21 | 16:46 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 2 | 1 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 23 | 16:32 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Steve OttBUF | 23 | 15:51 | 0:41 | 1:35 | 4 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 20 | 15:10 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 5 | 0 |
 Korbinian HolzerTOR | 17 | 15:09 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 20 | 15:08 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 6 | 0 |
 Alexander SulzerBUF | 21 | 15:02 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 21 | 14:19 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 17 | 13:44 | 0:48 | 2:07 | 6 | 0 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 18 | 13:44 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 0 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF | 17 | 13:00 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 1 | 1 |
 Jay McClementTOR | 14 | 11:01 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 5 |
 Mark FraserTOR | 14 | 8:49 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 13 | 7:37 | 0:35 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 7 | 4:33 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 7 | 4:28 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Colton OrrTOR | 7 | 4:26 | 0:38 | 0:55 | 0 | 3 |
 John ScottBUF | 4 | 1:58 | 0:30 | 0:47 | 3 | 0 |