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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 9, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington

Florida Panthers 0, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 70% of the time.

WSH winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Versteeg–Shore–HuberdeauKopecky–Goc–SkilleWeiss–Fleischmann–MuellerParros–Smithson–MatthiasParros–Smithson–HuberdeauKopecky–Goc–VersteegCampbell–GudbransonKuba–StrachanWeaver–KulikovWeaver–Gudbranson
Chimera–Ribeiro–Ovechkin1:560.00–0.004:300.02–0.192:440.33–0.134:120.04–0.191:590.27–0.075:080.09–0.140:370.02–0.00
Wolski–Brouwer–Backstrom4:240.27–0.040:490.00–0.014:400.14–0.020:400.04–0.004:590.17–0.061:320.04–0.014:240.27–0.000:320.16–0.00
Ward–Fehr–Perreault1:510.04–0.003:290.19–0.001:350.00–0.000:380.01–0.002:410.16–0.005:280.07–0.000:530.01–0.00
Hendricks–Crabb–Beagle1:370.00–0.390:400.00–0.051:100.00–0.012:590.00–0.002:050.00–0.393:060.00–0.061:250.00–0.00
Fehr–Ovechkin–Perreault0:410.30–0.00
Ribeiro–Ovechkin–Wolski0:380.00–0.010:570.00–0.08
Green–Alzner4:010.08–0.397:270.20–0.251:200.09–0.021:070.00–0.000:360.27–0.007:560.46–0.602:460.10–0.065:400.13–0.09
Erskine–Carlson1:430.00–0.037:370.14–0.071:260.00–0.014:060.14–0.033:160.00–0.044:190.04–0.060:340.14–0.00
Schultz–Kundratek4:590.25–0.021:310.00–0.003:300.04–0.000:370.03–0.001:120.13–0.003:490.02–0.026:170.32–0.102:360.36–0.00
Schultz–Green0:360.00–0.070:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:330.00–0.070:370.02–0.00
Alzner–Kundratek0:500.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWolski FBackstrom FBrouwer FOvechkin FRibeiro FChimera FFehr FWard FPerreault FBeagle FHendricks FCrabb FErskine DCarlson DAlzner DGreen DKundratek DSchultz DHoltby GWeiss FFleischmann FMueller FSkille FGoc FKopecky FVersteeg FMatthias FParros FSmithson FShore FHuberdeau FGudbranson DCampbell DKulikov DWeaver DKuba DStrachan DTheodore GClemmensen G
WSHFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mike GreenWSH2724:110:542:0953
Brian CampbellFLA2422:590:571:4042
Erik GudbransonFLA2421:410:541:2740
Karl AlznerWSH2621:290:501:2334
Mike WeaverFLA2221:060:581:5433
John CarlsonWSH2220:400:561:4114
Alex OvechkinWSH2220:290:561:5764
Dmitry KulikovFLA1818:581:031:5441
Nicklas BackstromWSH2218:440:511:1732
Filip KubaFLA2218:410:511:5143
Stephen WeissFLA2218:060:491:3652
Mike RibeiroWSH2317:570:471:1074
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2117:320:501:2431
John ErskineWSH1917:210:551:3603
Kris VersteegFLA2017:180:521:1233
Troy BrouwerWSH2017:150:521:0932
Jeff SchultzWSH2317:130:451:2722
Tyson StrachanFLA2116:350:471:4032
Drew ShoreFLA1916:330:521:0830
Tomas KopeckyFLA2116:320:471:4115
Tomas KundratekWSH2116:260:471:1334
Tomas FleischmannFLA1915:520:501:2850
Marcel GocFLA1815:460:531:4114
Jason ChimeraWSH1814:540:501:2944
Wojtek WolskiWSH1814:280:481:3602
Peter MuellerFLA1714:220:511:3640
Jack SkilleFLA1614:200:541:0612
Joel WardWSH1713:200:471:1223
Eric FehrWSH1713:070:461:2023
Mathieu PerreaultWSH1712:400:451:2122
Matt HendricksWSH1711:460:421:0514
Jerred SmithsonFLA1511:090:451:0933
Joey CrabbWSH1411:030:471:1511
Jay BeagleWSH1610:570:411:0114
Shawn MatthiasFLA139:320:441:1631
George ParrosFLA128:040:401:0931