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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 14, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Washington Capitals 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Green, saved by Garon
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Garon
  4. P1 1:42Hedman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Hall, Crombeen, Pyatt, Hedman · WSH Chimera, Erskine, Ribeiro, Ovechkin, Green

  5. P1 2:40Goal by Brouwer (Perreault, Backstrom)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Thompson, Pyatt, Aulie · WSH Ovechkin, Green, Brouwer, Backstrom, Perreault

  6. P1 3:36Shot by Carlson, saved by Garon
  7. P1 4:19Shot by Hendricks, saved by Garon
  8. P1 5:01Shot by Chimera, saved by Garon
  9. P1 6:27Shot by Ward, saved by Garon
  10. P1 6:50Shot by Conacher, saved by Holtby
  11. P1 8:21Shot by St. Louis, saved by Holtby
  12. P1 8:23Goal by St. Louis (Pouliot, Lecavalier)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Aulie · WSH Chimera, Ribeiro, Ovechkin, Schultz, Kundratek

  13. P1 9:07Green: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Lee, Pyatt, Killorn, Aulie, Panik · WSH Erskine, Hendricks, Crabb, Green, Beagle

  14. P1 9:07Hendricks: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Lee, Pyatt, Killorn, Aulie, Panik · WSH Erskine, Hendricks, Crabb, Green, Beagle

  15. P1 9:07Aulie: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Lee, Pyatt, Killorn, Aulie, Panik · WSH Erskine, Hendricks, Crabb, Green, Beagle

  16. P1 14:54Shot by Carlson, saved by Garon
  17. P1 17:01Shot by Purcell, saved by Holtby
  18. P1 17:13Shot by Carle, saved by Holtby
  19. P1 17:30Shot by Brouwer, saved by Garon
  20. P1 17:56Shot by Thompson, saved by Holtby
  21. P1 18:19Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Garon
  22. P1 18:40Shot by Crabb, saved by Garon
  23. P1 19:59Shot by Backstrom, saved by Garon
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:37Shot by Brouwer, saved by Garon
  27. P2 0:55Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Holtby
  28. P2 1:34Shot by Chimera, saved by Garon
  29. P2 1:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Holtby
  30. P2 4:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby
  31. P2 4:25Shot by St. Louis, saved by Holtby
  32. P2 4:32Shot by Salo, saved by Holtby
  33. P2 5:09Goal by Fehr (Perreault, Ward)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Lee, Purcell, Stamkos, Conacher · WSH Ward, Fehr, Green, Perreault, Alzner

  34. P2 6:30Shot by Green, saved by Garon
  35. P2 7:29Shot by Stamkos, saved by Holtby
  36. P2 8:28Shot by Carlson, saved by Garon
  37. P2 8:44Shot by Wolski, saved by Garon
  38. P2 9:17Shot by Kundratek, saved by Garon
  39. P2 9:30Shot by Panik, saved by Holtby
  40. P2 9:44Shot by Lee, saved by Holtby
  41. P2 10:06Shot by Pyatt, saved by Holtby
  42. P2 12:36Shot by Backstrom, saved by Garon
  43. P2 12:54Shot by Salo, saved by Holtby
  44. P2 13:18Shot by Brouwer, saved by Garon
  45. P2 14:06Shot by Hendricks, saved by Garon
  46. P2 17:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Holtby
  47. P2 17:24Shot by Conacher, saved by Holtby
  48. P2 18:03Shot by Beagle, saved by Garon
  49. P2 18:48Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Garon
  50. P2 18:49Shot by Chimera, saved by Garon
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:19Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Holtby
  54. P3 0:54Shot by Wolski, saved by Garon
  55. P3 0:51Shot by Erskine, saved by Garon
  56. P3 1:14Shot by Hall, saved by Holtby
  57. P3 1:23Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Garon
  58. P3 1:57Shot by Perreault, saved by Garon
  59. P3 2:22Goal by Fehr (Perreault, Carlson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lee, Purcell, Aulie, Stamkos, Conacher · WSH Erskine, Ward, Fehr, Perreault, Carlson

  60. P3 3:42Shot by Pyatt, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 3:58Shot by Kundratek, saved by Garon
  62. P3 5:36Shot by Purcell, saved by Holtby
  63. P3 7:27Shot by Schultz, saved by Garon
  64. P3 7:28Shot by Beagle, saved by Garon
  65. P3 7:29Goal by Beagle (Schultz, Kundratek)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lee, Pyatt, Killorn, Aulie, Panik · WSH Hendricks, Crabb, Schultz, Beagle, Kundratek

  66. P3 8:12Shot by Brewer, saved by Holtby
  67. P3 9:27Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Holtby6v5
  68. P3 9:29Carlson: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Salo, Lecavalier, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman, Conacher · WSH Chimera, Erskine, Ribeiro, Ovechkin, Carlson

  69. P3 9:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Holtby5v4
  70. P3 10:44Shot by Alzner, saved by Garon5v4
  71. P3 11:53Shot by Brewer, saved by Holtby
  72. P3 12:02Goal by Purcell (Stamkos)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · WSH Chimera, Erskine, Ribeiro, Ovechkin, Carlson

  73. P3 13:01Shot by Erskine, saved by Garon
  74. P3 13:02Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Garon
  75. P3 13:07Shot by Erskine, saved by Garon
  76. P3 13:08Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Garon
  77. P3 16:47Goal by Thompson (St. Louis)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Thompson, Pouliot · WSH Ward, Fehr, Green, Perreault, Alzner

  78. P3 17:17Shot by St. Louis, saved by Holtby
  79. P3 17:26Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Holtby
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final