Thu, Feb 14, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Washington Capitals 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
30%
11%
9%
51%
TBL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:14 | 0.07 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:34 | 0.10 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:42 | 0.13 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:10 | 0.04 | 73.0% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.09 | 54.2% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 19:30 | 0.28 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.48 | 59.7% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.11 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.01 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.16 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.14 | 64.7% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.07 | 57.2% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.03 | 58.5% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 11:46 | 0.02 | 55.8% | +60.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:20 | 0.66 | 83.2% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:42 | 0.13 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.02 | 58.6% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:06 | 0.05 | 77.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.00 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:39 | 0.04 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:29 | 0.08 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:06 | 0.16 | 39.8% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:56 | 0.02 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.04 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 22:03 | 0.54 | 50.2% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.24 | 43.7% | +20.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.15 | 38.6% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.10 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:51 | 0.14 | 70.6% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.05 | 67.6% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.04 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.03 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:05 | 0.17 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.09 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.10 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 2.57 | −1.4 | 58:54 |