Thu, Feb 14, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Washington Capitals 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
30%
11%
9%
51%
TBL winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wolski–Brouwer–Backstrom | Chimera–Ribeiro–Ovechkin | Ward–Fehr–Perreault | Hendricks–Crabb–Beagle | Ribeiro–Ovechkin–Wolski | Ward–Fehr–Beagle | Fehr–Ovechkin–Perreault | Green–Alzner | Erskine–Carlson | Schultz–Kundratek | Erskine–Kundratek | Erskine–Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hall–Crombeen–Thompson | 1:000.00–0.02 | 6:160.16–0.08 | 2:310.07–0.04 | 2:590.02–0.05 | 2:340.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Purcell–Stamkos–Conacher | 2:090.12–0.02 | 1:300.02–0.00 | 2:140.05–0.14 | 1:130.04–0.03 | 2:310.16–0.11 | 3:400.07–0.08 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pouliot | 3:500.13–0.16 | 1:210.54–0.08 | 2:000.00–0.02 | 3:490.25–0.05 | 2:150.05–0.14 | 1:240.38–0.09 | ||||||
| Pyatt–Killorn–Panik | 4:120.14–0.68 | 2:450.14–0.11 | 1:070.08–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.60 | ||||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 1:400.09–0.16 | 1:070.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:210.06–0.02 | 1:140.03–0.24 | |||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Purcell | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.04 | 1:490.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 1:380.04–0.05 | 1:470.04–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Thompson–Stamkos–Conacher | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:300.05–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Pouliot–Pyatt–Panik | 0:390.06–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:450.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Salo–Hedman | 2:050.03–0.02 | 10:290.36–0.17 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:220.07–0.02 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 6:470.32–0.07 | 6:150.09–0.19 | 3:280.07–0.02 | ||||
| Brewer–Carle | 8:300.28–0.34 | 1:100.01–0.03 | 2:390.10–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 6:480.32–0.15 | 6:000.15–0.36 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||
| Lee–Aulie | 1:110.00–0.02 | 2:180.05–0.05 | 2:170.04–0.63 | 3:110.04–0.04 | 1:100.00–0.08 | 1:050.05–0.58 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||
| Brewer–Aulie | 1:120.06–0.10 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.08 | 0:570.00–0.18 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:000.06–0.04 | ||||||
| Carle–Lee | 0:530.03–0.15 | 0:580.00–0.04 | 0:310.03–0.09 | 1:410.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 0:540.03–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.08 | 1:230.03–0.07 | 0:390.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Brewer–Lee | 0:340.02–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.02 | 0:580.07–0.00 | 1:320.09–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.02 | |||||||
| Salo–Carle | 0:410.00–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Lee–Hedman | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Karl AlznerWSH | 25 | 26:14 | 1:03 | 2:24 | 4 | 4 |
 Mike GreenWSH | 24 | 25:34 | 1:04 | 2:24 | 4 | 3 |
 John ErskineWSH | 29 | 23:42 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 24 | 23:39 | 0:59 | 2:10 | 3 | 7 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 23:29 | 0:56 | 1:50 | 3 | 7 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 23:06 | 0:58 | 1:41 | 6 | 1 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 26 | 22:56 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 24 | 22:19 | 0:56 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 27 | 22:10 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 2 | 4 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 24 | 22:03 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 7 | 3 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 22 | 20:43 | 0:57 | 2:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 24 | 20:15 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 20 | 19:30 | 0:59 | 1:54 | 6 | 2 |
 Troy BrouwerWSH | 24 | 19:26 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Wojtek WolskiWSH | 20 | 18:37 | 0:56 | 1:46 | 3 | 1 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 19 | 17:31 | 0:55 | 2:15 | 5 | 1 |
 Mike RibeiroWSH | 19 | 17:19 | 0:55 | 1:45 | 4 | 1 |
 Cory ConacherTBL | 18 | 16:56 | 0:56 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 21 | 15:51 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 2 | 6 |
 Jason ChimeraWSH | 19 | 14:56 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 6 | 2 |
 Benoit PouliotTBL | 18 | 14:55 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 18 | 13:45 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Eric FehrWSH | 17 | 13:17 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 0 |
 Joel WardWSH | 18 | 13:06 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 3 | 1 |
 Tomas KundratekWSH | 18 | 12:34 | 0:42 | 1:36 | 6 | 0 |
 Mathieu PerreaultWSH | 16 | 11:46 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 4 | 0 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 13 | 11:34 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 0 | 5 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 14 | 11:05 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 14 | 10:57 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 12 | 10:25 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 0 | 2 |
 Adam HallTBL | 14 | 10:22 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 0 | 5 |
 Jay BeagleWSH | 16 | 10:20 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 4 | 4 |
 Matt HendricksWSH | 14 | 9:42 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeff SchultzWSH | 14 | 9:26 | 0:40 | 1:36 | 5 | 0 |
 Richard PanikTBL | 11 | 8:32 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Joey CrabbWSH | 12 | 8:06 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |