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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 21, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Boston Bruins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Horton–Krejci–LucicBergeron–Marchand–SeguinKelly–Bourque–PeverleyThornton–Campbell–PailleChara–BoychukFerence–McQuaidChara–SeidenbergSeidenberg–HamiltonSeidenberg–BoychukChara–McQuaidSeidenberg–McQuaidFerence–HamiltonFerence–BoychukFerence–Seidenberg
Purcell–Stamkos–Conacher4:420.12–0.391:150.07–0.003:020.02–0.011:400.00–0.073:540.03–0.012:050.00–0.090:320.03–0.052:200.10–0.281:380.02–0.000:440.00–0.001:000.02–0.081:090.00–0.03
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pouliot2:290.08–0.076:030.16–0.122:140.02–0.060:350.00–0.006:150.18–0.191:520.10–0.001:020.00–0.032:130.02–0.030:320.00–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Killorn1:360.10–0.000:550.00–0.012:240.03–0.002:190.05–0.022:380.05–0.040:540.00–0.002:280.04–0.031:070.08–0.00
Hall–Crombeen–Panik1:220.06–0.121:280.00–0.001:290.06–0.001:110.04–0.000:360.00–0.001:160.02–0.040:470.00–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Panik1:470.08–0.080:490.00–0.000:340.08–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Panik0:450.05–0.070:380.05–0.07
Hall–Crombeen–Killorn0:440.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Salo–Hedman7:570.32–0.434:540.06–0.050:490.02–0.031:280.05–0.003:110.08–0.052:110.03–0.020:370.08–0.002:230.13–0.362:130.02–0.031:030.02–0.001:430.04–0.040:480.00–0.010:530.00–0.00
Brewer–Carle3:510.05–0.263:280.11–0.093:150.03–0.002:130.02–0.004:470.11–0.151:130.02–0.002:500.05–0.161:440.03–0.000:450.00–0.001:350.00–0.001:160.00–0.030:580.00–0.00
Bergeron–Lee1:060.08–0.060:320.06–0.004:500.00–0.043:010.07–0.091:580.02–0.060:500.02–0.000:590.06–0.000:380.00–0.031:200.00–0.081:510.04–0.021:100.00–0.060:440.08–0.00
Brewer–Bergeron0:370.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:540.00–0.070:420.00–0.00
Salo–Brewer0:320.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:330.00–0.040:320.00–0.00
Bergeron–Carle0:480.00–0.00
Brewer–Lee0:300.00–0.080:430.00–0.00
Bergeron–Hedman0:470.06–0.000:320.05–0.00
Carle–Hedman0:360.04–0.000:450.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLecavalier FSt. Louis FPouliot FConacher FStamkos FPurcell FPyatt FKillorn FThompson FHall FPanik FCrombeen FBrewer DCarle DSalo DHedman DLee DBergeron DLindback GPaille FThornton FBergeron FSeguin FMarchand FKrejci FLucic FHorton FKelly FBourque FPeverley FCampbell FChara DMcQuaid DBoychuk DHamilton DSeidenberg DFerence DRask G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS2726:230:592:0735
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2726:120:582:0012
Matt CarleTBL2823:250:501:4153
Steven StamkosTBL2323:181:011:5141
Martin St. LouisTBL2423:030:582:1862
Johnny BoychukBOS2922:570:471:5343
Eric BrewerTBL2621:170:491:3143
Sami SaloTBL2821:050:451:1444
Vincent LecavalierTBL2220:390:562:1852
Victor HedmanTBL2520:330:491:5314
Teddy PurcellTBL2320:110:531:3131
Andrew FerenceBOS2420:030:501:3631
David KrejciBOS2019:551:001:5023
Cory ConacherTBL2318:320:481:2831
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2218:160:501:2651
Nathan HortonBOS2018:090:541:3331
Benoit PouliotTBL2118:030:521:1342
Chris KellyBOS2416:350:411:5906
Milan LucicBOS1916:290:521:5030
Patrice BergeronBOS2216:020:441:1115
Adam McQuaidBOS1915:010:471:4720
Brad MarchandBOS2114:590:431:2122
Rich PeverleyBOS2014:470:441:3302
Tyler SeguinBOS1814:300:481:3712
Tom PyattTBL1513:150:531:2622
Chris BourqueBOS1612:300:471:5910
Brian LeeTBL1712:290:441:1531
Alex KillornTBL1512:090:491:1321
Nate ThompsonTBL1511:330:461:1323
Gregory CampbellBOS1810:490:361:0361
Daniel PailleBOS1710:270:371:0360
Dougie HamiltonBOS1610:000:381:0501
Richard PanikTBL129:050:451:1013
Shawn ThorntonBOS148:120:351:0560
B.J. CrombeenTBL117:200:401:0503
Adam HallTBL117:150:400:5903