Thu, Feb 28, 2013·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, New York Islanders 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 54% of the time.
44%
9%
8%
38%
NYI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24:12 | 0.18 | 43.7% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.05 | 24.5% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.53 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.12 | 41.9% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.68 | 49.1% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.05 | 57.6% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.22 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.01 | 55.2% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.08 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.16 | 21.5% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.00 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 16:40 | 0.39 | 57.6% | +53.7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 15:46 | 0.28 | 72.1% | +58.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.13 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:38 | 0.26 | 87.0% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 89.2% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.32 | −0.7 | 61:11 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:40 | 0.10 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:25 | 0.03 | 60.8% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.16 | 47.2% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22:29 | 0.12 | 49.9% | +34.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.45 | 52.9% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.16 | 50.4% | +64.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.45 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:03 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:35 | 0.56 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.30 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.01 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.54 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:23 | 0.03 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.15 | 46.3% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.24 | 50.0% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:48 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 3.15 | −1.9 | 61:11 |