Wed, Mar 6, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
49%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:02 | 0.24 | 57.1% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:02 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.13 | 73.1% | +6.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.06 | 62.8% | +1.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:11 | 0.36 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.18 | 56.3% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:49 | 0.39 | 38.3% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 18:46 | 1.15 | 73.0% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.13 | 54.9% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.29 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.22 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.18 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.06 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.57 | 66.7% | +6.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.01 | 77.3% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:17 | 0.03 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 3.62 | −1.4 | 58:28 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 23:03 | 0.02 | 28.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.00 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.28 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.03 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:39 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.38 | 40.5% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18:38 | 0.27 | 49.1% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:49 | 0.77 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.51 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 17:07 | 0.51 | 66.1% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 42.1% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.05 | 69.9% | +8.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:40 | 0.35 | 67.5% | +23.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.14 | 61.0% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:31 | 0.26 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.05 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 43 | 39 | 4 | .907 | 4.03 | 0.0 | 60:00 |