Wed, Mar 6, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
49%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Greening–Turris–Silfverberg | Alfredsson–Michalek–Smith | Neil–Stone–Zibanejad | Alfredsson–Michalek–Turris | Alfredsson–Condra–Smith | Alfredsson–Regin–Silfverberg | Neil–Greening–Smith | Neil–Condra–Smith | Greening–Condra–Zibanejad | Greening–Condra–Smith | Michalek–Condra–Smith | Methot–Gryba | Phillips–Benoit | Gonchar–Wiercioch | Benoit–Methot | Phillips–Gryba | Gonchar–Phillips | Gonchar–Methot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McClement–Grabovski–Kulemin | 3:160.52–0.09 | 1:480.00–0.53 | 1:160.00–0.08 | 2:480.14–0.09 | 0:510.00–0.01 | 4:570.08–0.07 | 2:350.00–0.10 | 3:050.14–0.07 | 0:370.44–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.52 | 0:590.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | 1:040.00–0.00 | 3:270.08–0.24 | 1:030.02–0.00 | 1:040.33–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.15 | 0:410.07–0.00 | 3:380.46–0.06 | 4:250.20–0.19 | 2:200.00–0.15 | 0:570.14–0.03 | 0:340.08–0.00 | |||||||
| MacArthur–Komarov–Kadri | 2:441.19–0.23 | 2:390.19–0.15 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.01 | 3:141.22–0.19 | 3:540.10–0.18 | 1:380.03–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Orr–Steckel–McLaren | 0:480.00–0.04 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 1:130.00–0.04 | 1:170.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||
| MacArthur–Kessel–Kadri | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.47 | ||||||||||||||||
| McClement–MacArthur–Komarov | 0:320.00–0.06 | 0:580.00–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||||
| Orr–Steckel–Komarov | 0:480.00–0.12 | 0:480.00–0.12 | ||||||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Holzer | 0:320.00–0.00 | 5:110.00–0.73 | 0:310.00–0.08 | 4:110.51–0.09 | 1:280.00–0.15 | 0:330.00–0.51 | 4:350.36–0.12 | 4:420.00–0.30 | 3:470.14–0.63 | 1:070.05–0.02 | 1:070.00–0.52 | |||||||
| Gunnarsson–Kostka | 5:540.56–0.24 | 1:170.08–0.09 | 0:310.09–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 4:530.05–0.03 | 3:400.09–0.08 | 3:350.00–0.15 | 1:350.15–0.10 | 0:380.47–0.00 | 1:150.17–0.02 | ||||||
| Franson–Fraser | 1:281.10–0.14 | 5:140.12–0.32 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:000.23–0.12 | 0:410.07–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.01 | 4:131.24–0.36 | 3:490.18–0.14 | 3:030.25–0.04 | 1:410.01–0.21 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Phaneuf–Fraser | 0:310.02–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.15 | ||||||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 29 | 23:03 | 0:48 | 1:58 | 4 | 10 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 31 | 23:02 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 6 | 3 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 29 | 22:02 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 5 | 2 |
 Michael KostkaTOR | 26 | 21:19 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 4 | 4 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 31 | 21:12 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 6 | 2 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 28 | 20:28 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 7 | 4 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 28 | 20:11 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 6 | 4 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 29 | 20:04 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 6 | 4 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 24 | 19:50 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 6 | 5 |
 Andre BenoitOTT | 26 | 19:48 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Mark FraserTOR | 25 | 19:42 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 0 | 4 |
 Korbinian HolzerTOR | 28 | 19:39 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 3 | 9 |
 Eric GrybaOTT | 26 | 19:15 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 5 | 3 |
 Jay McClementTOR | 27 | 19:11 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 5 | 10 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 26 | 18:49 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 6 | 3 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 26 | 18:46 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 8 | 1 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 26 | 18:38 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 4 | 4 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 29 | 18:22 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 8 | 3 |
 Jakob SilfverbergOTT | 25 | 18:19 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 6 | 3 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 25 | 17:49 | 0:43 | 1:52 | 1 | 7 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 23 | 17:17 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 2 | 6 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 24 | 17:07 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 4 | 4 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 25 | 16:51 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 5 | 7 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 24 | 16:36 | 0:42 | 1:44 | 2 | 5 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 25 | 15:40 | 0:38 | 1:55 | 5 | 6 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 24 | 15:14 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 7 | 0 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 15:11 | 0:40 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 22 | 14:38 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 5 | 1 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 23 | 14:38 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 23 | 14:17 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 5 | 0 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 16 | 11:48 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 David SteckelTOR | 13 | 8:31 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 0 | 4 |
 Peter ReginOTT | 13 | 8:17 | 0:38 | 1:44 | 2 | 2 |
 Colton OrrTOR | 10 | 6:57 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 0 | 3 |
 Frazer McLarenTOR | 10 | 4:35 | 0:28 | 0:48 | 0 | 3 |
 Dave DziurzynskiOTT | 1 | 0:03 | 0:03 | 0:03 | 1 | 0 |