Thu, Mar 7, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Winnipeg Jets 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
51%
11%
9%
29%
TBL winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:34 | 0.12 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:17 | 0.01 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:57 | 0.19 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 21:12 | 0.60 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.08 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.02 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.03 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.13 | 55.3% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.09 | 57.8% | +38.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.21 | 43.1% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.05 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.02 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.10 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.04 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:05 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 4:48 | 0.13 | 68.2% | +20.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.38 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:22 | 0.08 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:52 | 0.10 | 40.2% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:01 | 0.58 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.21 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.06 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:40 | 0.67 | 48.5% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.05 | 49.9% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.06 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.01 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:24 | 0.11 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.12 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.09 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.12 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.10 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:12 | 0.02 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.83 | −0.2 | 58:23 |