Thu, Mar 14, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
New York Islanders 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 67% of the time.
21%
12%
11%
56%
TBL winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Boyes–Moulson–Tavares | Nielsen–Okposo–Bailey | Aucoin–Ullstrom–Cizikas | Boulton–Reasoner–Martin | Aucoin–Moulson–Cizikas | MacDonald–Hamonic | Martinek–Streit | Visnovsky–Hickey | Streit–Visnovsky | Visnovsky–Hamonic | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone–Crombeen–Thompson | 9:150.38–0.29 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 4:340.03–0.03 | 3:240.16–0.14 | 3:450.18–0.15 | |||
| St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos | 1:110.00–0.01 | 4:580.07–0.08 | 3:080.06–0.06 | 1:450.06–0.00 | 5:440.01–0.14 | 2:390.12–0.02 | 2:230.05–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||
| Purcell–Johnson–Conacher | 0:350.00–0.07 | 1:510.05–0.00 | 2:430.00–0.17 | 1:070.00–0.04 | 1:430.02–0.00 | 4:090.06–0.11 | 0:580.00–0.16 | |||
| Hall–Labrie–Palat | 1:340.00–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.04 | 2:180.00–0.06 | 1:100.02–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.03 | 2:490.00–0.10 | ||||
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.03 | 0:450.08–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 1:410.08–0.03 | |||||
| Killorn–Johnson–Conacher | 1:140.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||
| St. Louis–Stamkos–Conacher | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Hall–Crombeen–Thompson | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Salo–Hedman | 10:400.20–0.42 | 1:480.04–0.01 | 1:150.01–0.00 | 5:590.04–0.05 | 3:580.07–0.06 | 3:460.17–0.33 | ||||
| Brewer–Carle | 3:030.02–0.06 | 4:070.00–0.06 | 4:320.03–0.04 | 2:250.05–0.15 | 1:060.00–0.04 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| Carle–Gudas | 4:410.05–0.04 | 1:000.06–0.05 | 0:460.08–0.00 | 2:500.00–0.04 | 2:340.18–0.02 | 2:190.05–0.05 | ||||
| Aulie–Gudas | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.04 | 2:050.00–0.08 | 3:240.02–0.04 | 1:010.00–0.04 | 1:490.00–0.04 | ||||
| Brewer–Aulie | 1:010.07–0.06 | 2:270.00–0.07 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 4:010.07–0.13 | |||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 1:130.00–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Gudas | 0:350.07–0.00 | 1:230.03–0.00 | 1:100.02–0.00 | 0:330.09–0.10 | ||||||
| Salo–Carle | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Brewer–Gudas | 0:420.01–0.00 | 0:370.10–0.03 | 0:420.01–0.00 | 0:450.10–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Travis HamonicNYI | 27 | 24:24 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 5 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 23:49 | 1:02 | 2:06 | 4 | 4 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 29 | 23:30 | 0:49 | 2:30 | 5 | 3 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 24 | 23:22 | 0:58 | 2:06 | 6 | 4 |
 Andrew MacDonaldNYI | 28 | 23:16 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 4 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 22:47 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 2 | 6 |
 Mark StreitNYI | 24 | 20:56 | 0:52 | 2:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Radek MartinekNYI | 22 | 20:04 | 0:55 | 1:50 | 2 | 0 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 25 | 19:45 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 2 | 6 |
 Lubomir VisnovskyNYI | 23 | 19:04 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 25 | 18:56 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 22 | 18:28 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 5 | 3 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 25 | 18:25 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 3 | 4 |
 Matt MoulsonNYI | 22 | 18:13 | 0:50 | 2:00 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 18:10 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 3 | 4 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 20 | 17:07 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 22 | 16:58 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 4 | 3 |
 John TavaresNYI | 22 | 16:58 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 6 | 2 |
 Brad BoyesNYI | 23 | 16:55 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 6 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoNYI | 20 | 16:25 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 23 | 16:16 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 6 | 2 |
 Frans NielsenNYI | 22 | 15:55 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 19 | 15:48 | 0:50 | 2:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Cory ConacherTBL | 19 | 14:45 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 3 | 1 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 20 | 14:34 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 3 | 4 |
 Keith AucoinNYI | 19 | 14:32 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 David UllstromNYI | 19 | 13:24 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 5 | 1 |
 Thomas HickeyNYI | 16 | 12:35 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 18 | 12:25 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 17 | 11:44 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 16 | 11:39 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 3 | 1 |
 Marty ReasonerNYI | 15 | 10:19 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Adam HallTBL | 13 | 9:15 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 0 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 14 | 9:05 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 0 | 3 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL | 11 | 8:37 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 0 | 1 |
 Eric BoultonNYI | 13 | 7:53 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |