Sat, Mar 16, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Winnipeg Jets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 69% of the time.
22%
9%
8%
60%
TOR winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 31:18 | 0.20 | 84.5% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.05 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:08 | 0.04 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:36 | 0.29 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.34 | 85.7% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:23 | 0.22 | 46.4% | +26.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.12 | 47.5% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.29 | 41.4% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.06 | 53.2% | +8.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.65 | 82.7% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.10 | 67.5% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.17 | 65.2% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.07 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.12 | 67.1% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 13:06 | 0.12 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:20 | 0.05 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:28 | 0.00 | 95.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:30 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 1.84 | −2.2 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 28:13 | 0.03 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 27:45 | 0.06 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.02 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 20:33 | 0.10 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.10 | 21.1% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.15 | 60.4% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.16 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.08 | 11.2% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.02 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 16:43 | 0.50 | 63.2% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 11.6% | +26.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 0.15 | 9.8% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.20 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.02 | 50.5% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:52 | 0.12 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:20 | 0.09 | 87.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.61 | −1.4 | 40:00 | |
| O | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.28 | +0.3 | 25:00 |