Sun, Mar 17, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.
52%
10%
9%
29%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:40 | 0.10 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.07 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.00 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:02 | 0.14 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.01 | 34.7% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.03 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.38 | 49.6% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.01 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:06 | 0.42 | 77.4% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.02 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 43.8% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 13:54 | 0.40 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.12 | 55.3% | +5.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.27 | 60.3% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:46 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:34 | 0.04 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.13 | −2.9 | 58:41 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 30:15 | 0.15 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:03 | 0.02 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.03 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.00 | 40.1% | +35.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:11 | 0.87 | 40.1% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.18 | 78.6% | +31.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:57 | 0.68 | 55.9% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 84.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.02 | 66.1% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.18 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.21 | 48.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.13 | 42.7% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.16 | 52.7% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:48 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.07 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:44 | 0.05 | 20.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 60:00 |