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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 17, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ott–Leino–EnnisPorter–Foligno–FlynnPominville–Vanek–HodgsonHecht–Stafford–GerbeRegehr–WeberEhrhoff–MyersLeopold–PysykLeopold–MyersLeopold–WeberEhrhoff–PysykEhrhoff–Weber
Ribeiro–Fehr–Brouwer2:210.05–0.021:540.00–0.004:570.07–0.051:450.05–0.002:160.00–0.003:270.05–0.035:150.07–0.030:470.05–0.00
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Johansson4:170.09–0.082:230.07–0.152:080.05–0.063:520.16–0.092:480.05–0.000:370.00–0.071:580.04–0.131:060.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Chimera–Ward–Perreault1:330.02–0.003:120.24–0.001:030.00–0.004:100.12–0.202:290.15–0.322:520.00–0.062:380.07–0.000:380.00–0.08
Hendricks–Crabb–Beagle2:530.12–0.442:190.00–0.002:170.00–0.321:450.00–0.101:090.00–0.02
Chimera–Ovechkin–Backstrom
Hillen–Carlson5:430.05–0.112:130.15–0.002:150.00–0.034:220.05–0.114:260.23–0.026:480.07–0.222:200.00–0.021:020.00–0.000:590.05–0.00
Alzner–Oleksy1:150.13–0.002:210.06–0.005:410.12–0.051:160.20–0.002:380.05–0.022:510.13–0.024:060.16–0.010:310.03–0.000:570.00–0.001:120.17–0.00
Poti–Schultz2:400.09–0.381:100.00–0.011:240.02–0.131:360.09–0.331:300.00–0.042:180.02–0.020:530.00–0.00
Schultz–Carlson1:000.00–0.051:460.07–0.121:170.00–0.000:540.00–0.12
Schultz–Oleksy0:300.00–0.021:490.00–0.001:160.00–0.02
Hillen–Oleksy0:340.00–0.001:220.06–0.040:430.00–0.00
Alzner–Carlson0:300.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FBackstrom FJohansson FRibeiro FFehr FBrouwer FChimera FPerreault FWard FCrabb FHendricks FBeagle FAlzner DOleksy DHillen DCarlson DPoti DSchultz DHoltby GHodgson FVanek FPominville FOtt FLeino FEnnis FGerbe FHecht FStafford FPorter FFoligno FFlynn FWeber DRegehr DEhrhoff DMyers DLeopold DPysyk DMiller G
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2930:151:032:4445
Jordan LeopoldBUF2523:400:571:4125
Jack HillenWSH2423:030:581:5441
Steve OleksyWSH2821:090:451:4616
Christian EhrhoffBUF2721:010:471:1756
Tyler MyersBUF2720:480:461:4616
Nicklas BackstromWSH2320:270:532:1251
Mike WeberBUF2720:170:451:4005
Alex OvechkinWSH2220:110:552:1251
Steve OttBUF2219:020:521:25211
Troy BrouwerWSH2319:000:501:2637
Marcus JohanssonWSH2218:570:522:1241
Karl AlznerWSH2718:560:421:2115
Mike RibeiroWSH2018:470:561:4124
Jason PominvilleBUF2518:320:441:4083
Ville LeinoBUF1917:560:571:3328
Cody HodgsonBUF2417:470:441:4174
Robyn RegehrBUF2716:390:371:1104
Tyler EnnisBUF1716:060:572:2838
Eric FehrWSH1815:060:501:3623
Mark PysykBUF1914:550:471:1833
Joel WardWSH1914:470:471:1942
Thomas VanekBUF2114:440:421:1072
Jeff SchultzWSH1614:130:532:0204
Drew StaffordBUF1913:540:441:0823
Jason ChimeraWSH1713:330:481:3422
Kevin PorterBUF1513:190:531:4021
Marcus FolignoBUF1412:390:541:5721
Brian FlynnBUF1512:060:481:3921
Mathieu PerreaultWSH1611:590:451:1233
Jay BeagleWSH149:480:421:1145
Jochen HechtBUF109:460:591:2910
Nathan GerbeBUF109:340:571:2010
Matt HendricksWSH138:520:411:1745
Tom PotiWSH107:380:461:2700
Joey CrabbWSH86:440:511:2532