Mon, Mar 18, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.
59%
9%
24%
TBL winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:06 | 0.06 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 21:07 | 0.36 | 53.2% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.34 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.06 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.07 | 23.8% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:01 | 0.14 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.01 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.08 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 0.45 | 52.4% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.02 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.37 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.03 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.01 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:02 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.04 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:10 | 0.06 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.27 | −0.7 | 58:40 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 30:06 | 0.07 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:03 | 0.00 | 49.1% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:26 | 1.18 | 51.7% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.27 | 51.4% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.02 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.08 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.17 | 66.0% | +1.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.17 | 53.4% | +29.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.26 | 62.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:04 | 0.26 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.01 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.02 | 37.4% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.09 | 93.1% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.01 | 57.7% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.23 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.09 | 40.4% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:07 | 0.06 | 93.1% | +17.5 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.07 | +0.1 | 59:50 |