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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 18, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gagne–Talbot–ReadBrière–Simmonds–SchennGiroux–Voracek–RinaldoHartnell–Giroux–VoracekFedotenko–Rinaldo–CouturierBrière–Voracek–SchennGervais–MeszarosCoburn–GrossmannTimonen–SchennCoburn–Meszaros
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos5:430.49–0.360:420.03–0.001:120.01–0.060:560.03–0.001:590.13–0.116:340.51–0.381:150.03–0.05
Malone–Crombeen–Thompson3:150.16–0.003:470.00–0.072:590.14–0.000:310.00–0.004:280.07–0.20
Tyrell–Johnson–Palat0:320.00–0.002:590.05–0.001:080.09–0.002:550.05–0.000:570.00–0.001:160.00–0.00
Pyatt–Killorn–Conacher1:190.00–0.042:420.05–0.021:280.32–0.001:380.00–0.081:420.06–0.02
Crombeen–Thompson–Pyatt0:490.08–0.000:410.00–0.032:000.08–0.06
Tyrell–Johnson–Conacher0:450.02–0.020:580.02–0.02
Pyatt–Killorn–Palat0:330.00–0.060:460.04–0.000:480.04–0.06
Salo–Hedman2:010.17–0.002:230.00–0.030:440.00–0.061:250.12–0.000:410.00–0.063:300.07–0.12
Brewer–Carle1:250.15–0.132:350.09–0.000:380.00–0.002:010.34–0.002:010.19–0.131:530.05–0.00
Brewer–Gudas2:450.04–0.081:530.02–0.020:510.09–0.001:480.02–0.022:340.04–0.080:420.00–0.00
Salo–Carle2:250.08–0.000:410.00–0.030:420.00–0.000:390.06–0.001:410.00–0.002:490.08–0.06
Aulie–Gudas2:200.15–0.161:140.10–0.121:260.07–0.041:060.02–0.05
Salo–Aulie1:250.09–0.061:150.01–0.021:190.01–0.001:110.09–0.06
Carle–Gudas0:390.02–0.001:100.03–0.001:490.04–0.000:410.00–0.12
Carle–Aulie0:390.06–0.020:570.02–0.020:500.02–0.00
Brewer–Aulie0:440.11–0.130:350.00–0.00
Salo–Gudas0:370.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FCrombeen FThompson FPurcell FSt. Louis FStamkos FPyatt FKillorn FConacher FJohnson FTyrell FPalat FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DGudas DAulie DLindback GHartnell FGiroux FVoracek FGagne FRead FTalbot FCouturier FFedotenko FRinaldo FSchenn FBrière FSimmonds FSchenn DTimonen DCoburn DGrossmann DGervais DMeszaros DBryzgalov G
TBLPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt CarleTBL3230:060:562:1467
Kimmo TimonenPHI3024:060:481:4036
Sami SaloTBL3123:030:451:3623
Claude GirouxPHI2621:070:491:4944
Matt ReadPHI2221:010:571:3500
Jakub VoracekPHI2220:590:572:2751
Steven StamkosTBL2220:260:562:1154
Martin St. LouisTBL2120:000:572:0762
Eric BrewerTBL2819:560:432:1235
Braydon CoburnPHI2819:530:432:1751
Andrej MeszarosPHI2519:380:471:5911
Luke SchennPHI2518:010:431:1125
Nicklas GrossmannPHI2617:440:412:1562
Nate ThompsonTBL2417:040:431:2137
Brayden SchennPHI1916:590:541:5931
Max TalbotPHI2016:240:491:3541
Alex KillornTBL2016:160:491:3021
Daniel BrièrePHI1815:590:531:5941
Teddy PurcellTBL1915:410:502:0170
Tom PyattTBL2115:250:441:3043
Ryan MaloneTBL2015:040:452:0142
Radko GudasTBL2314:510:391:2813
Victor HedmanTBL1914:470:471:4413
B.J. CrombeenTBL2114:390:421:2737
Wayne SimmondsPHI1714:250:512:0952
Scott HartnellPHI1613:190:502:2641
Bruno GervaisPHI1913:110:421:5911
Simon GagnePHI1713:000:461:2200
Tyler JohnsonTBL1812:120:411:0321
Keith AulieTBL2112:000:341:2831
Cory ConacherTBL1611:090:421:3421
Ondrej PalatTBL1810:240:351:1311
Zac RinaldoPHI1310:020:461:0021
Ruslan FedotenkoPHI169:220:351:0733
Dana TyrellTBL159:070:360:5520
Sean CouturierPHI118:100:451:3322