Wed, Mar 20, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver
Dallas Stars 3, Colorado Avalanche 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
53%
COL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:02 | 0.01 | 60.3% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.17 | 68.3% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:26 | 0.00 | 52.7% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.01 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.40 | 70.3% | +58.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:09 | 0.41 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.12 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:39 | 0.79 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.35 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.01 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 16:28 | 0.51 | 65.2% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.13 | 72.5% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.05 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.06 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:14 | 0.10 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.10 | 54.1% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.08 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.03 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.65 | −1.4 | 59:06 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.01 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:29 | 0.48 | 47.1% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.02 | 45.7% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.13 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.05 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.01 | 49.0% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.11 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.26 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.11 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.04 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 15:09 | 0.35 | 56.5% | +69.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.02 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.12 | 56.2% | +59.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.15 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:28 | 0.28 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.13 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 9:20 | 0.24 | 48.5% | +43.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5:00 | 0.12 | 53.7% | +17.2 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.33 | +0.3 | 60:00 |