Tue, Mar 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:39Shot by Ennis, saved by Garon
- P1 2:43Stamkos: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL St. Louis, Killorn, Aulie, Stamkos, Gudas · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers
- P1 2:43Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TBL St. Louis, Killorn, Aulie, Stamkos, Gudas · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers
- P1 2:43Kaleta: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)
On ice: TBL St. Louis, Killorn, Aulie, Stamkos, Gudas · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers
- P1 0:00Johnson: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Carle, Purcell, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers
- P1 16:01Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Conacher)+18 pts WP
On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Stamkos, Hedman, Conacher · BUF Leopold, Kaleta, Gerbe, Hodgson, Myers
- P1 13:41Conacher: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Pouliot, Pyatt, Aulie, Conacher · BUF Leopold, Porter, Myers, Foligno, Flynn
- P1 0:00Period end
- P1 7:26Ott: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Thompson, Killorn, Aulie, Tyrell, Gudas · BUF Ott, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Weber, Hodgson
- P1 7:45Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v4
- P1 7:03Shot by Thompson, saved by Miller
- P1 6:21Shot by Hecht, saved by Garon
- P1 5:40Shot by Flynn, saved by Garon
- P1 3:59Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Garon4v5
- P1 17:35Shot by Pyatt, saved by Miller
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 3:08Shot by Panik, saved by Miller
- P2 3:30Shot by Aulie, saved by Miller
- P2 3:35Shot by Flynn, saved by Garon
- P2 3:47Shot by Pouliot, saved by Miller
- P2 4:23Shot by Brewer, saved by Miller
- P2 4:51Shot by Leino, saved by Garon
- P2 5:39Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Garon
- P2 6:01Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller
- P2 6:23Shot by Brewer, saved by Miller
- P2 7:13Regehr: Elbowing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Carle, Purcell, Aulie, Tyrell, Johnson · BUF Regehr, Porter, Myers, Foligno, Flynn
- P2 7:13Aulie: Fighting (5 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Carle, Purcell, Aulie, Tyrell, Johnson · BUF Regehr, Porter, Myers, Foligno, Flynn
- P2 7:13Foligno: Fighting (5 min)4v4
On ice: TBL Carle, Purcell, Aulie, Tyrell, Johnson · BUF Regehr, Porter, Myers, Foligno, Flynn
- P2 7:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 7:42Weber: Boarding (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Weber, Hodgson
- P2 8:15Goal by St. Louis (Purcell, Stamkos)5v3+11 pts WP
On ice: TBL St. Louis, Thompson, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff
- P2 8:43Shot by Panik, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 9:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 9:40Shot by Gudas, saved by Miller5v4
- P2 12:06Shot by Hecht, saved by Garon
- P2 12:17Shot by Panik, saved by Miller
- P2 13:19Shot by Killorn, saved by Miller
- P2 15:22Shot by Pominville, saved by Garon
- P2 16:50Shot by Panik, saved by Miller
- P2 16:57Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
- P2 19:36Shot by Thompson, saved by Miller
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:05Shot by Leino, saved by Garon
- P3 1:41Shot by Pysyk, saved by Garon
- P3 3:12Shot by Ott, saved by Garon
- P3 4:28Ehrhoff: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos · BUF Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Leino, Myers, Ennis
- P3 6:12Shot by Stamkos, saved by Miller5v4
- P3 9:40Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
- P3 9:41Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
- P3 11:46Hedman: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Salo, Thompson, Tyrell, Hedman, Panik · BUF Hecht, Leopold, Leino, Ennis, Pysyk
- P3 12:18Shot by Ennis, saved by Garon4v5
- P3 13:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller
- P3 14:05Weber: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Aulie, Stamkos · BUF Porter, Weber, Ennis, Pysyk, Flynn
- P3 14:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Miller5v4
- P3 16:52Goal by Leopold (Foligno, Flynn)+5 pts WP
On ice: TBL Brewer, Thompson, Pouliot, Tyrell, Gudas · BUF Leopold, Porter, Foligno, Pysyk, Flynn
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final