Tue, Mar 26, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.
65%
11%
9%
15%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Christian EhrhoffD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:59 | 0.24 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.06 | 35.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MyersD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.00 | 8.9% | 0.0 |
 Steve OttC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.28 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Jordan LeopoldD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:07 | 0.05 | 47.3% | +5.1 |
 Cody HodgsonC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Robyn RegehrD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 2.3% | 0.0 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.02 | 33.2% | 0.0 |
 Ville LeinoLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.02 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark PysykD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.02 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.05 | 68.1% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.02 | 29.0% | +5.1 |
 Jochen HechtC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:52 | 0.08 | 22.6% | 0.0 |
 Kevin PorterC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.02 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Brian FlynnC · #65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.08 | 26.2% | +5.1 |
 Patrick KaletaRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:03 | 0.00 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Nathan GerbeC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 17.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | L | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.12 | +0.1 | 59:17 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matt CarleD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.01 | 72.1% | 0.0 |
 Sami SaloD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.06 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.05 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.26 | 69.0% | 0.0 |
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:28 | 0.50 | 76.8% | +29.5 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:37 | 0.02 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:48 | 0.38 | 76.5% | +29.5 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.42 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Radko GudasD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.05 | 81.9% | 0.0 |
 Dana TyrellC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 77.5% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.01 | 85.5% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.05 | 80.9% | +11.1 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Richard PanikRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:51 | 0.19 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.02 | 11.8% | 0.0 |
 Keith AulieD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:13 | 0.03 | 85.1% | 0.0 |
 Benoit PouliotLW · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.06 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Cory ConacherC · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:20 | 0.00 | 37.1% | +18.4 |
 Mathieu Garon#32 | W | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 0.96 | 0.0 | 59:58 |