Thu, Mar 28, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 87% of the time.
82%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.06 | 26.6% | +54.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:33 | 0.02 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 21:05 | 0.17 | 38.1% | +36.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.55 | 39.0% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.02 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.10 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.08 | 9.6% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.11 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.06 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.06 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.02 | 21.4% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.03 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.04 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.00 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.02 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:20 | 0.10 | 74.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.19 | −1.8 | 59:30 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 24:48 | 0.26 | 65.2% | +47.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:51 | 0.42 | 60.6% | +78.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 21:43 | 0.31 | 95.0% | +52.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.10 | 80.1% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.05 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 19:53 | 0.42 | 88.7% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.10 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.02 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.12 | 88.8% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.04 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.85 | 52.4% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.03 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 0.07 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.72 | 28.8% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.13 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.02 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:47 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.43 | −1.6 | 60:00 |