Mon, Apr 1, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Colorado Avalanche 2, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 74% of the time.
64%
10%
8%
18%
DET winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.21 | 33.9% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:31 | 0.05 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.02 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.10 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.08 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.00 | 38.0% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:06 | 0.19 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:57 | 0.40 | 24.9% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.03 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.03 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.13 | 16.4% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.02 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.10 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:00 | 0.14 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.02 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 13 | 10 | 3 | .769 | 1.50 | −1.5 | 29:54 | |
| – | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.58 | +0.6 | 28:19 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:40 | 0.00 | 94.5% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.14 | 81.1% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.02 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.04 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.04 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.05 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.19 | 85.3% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.11 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:14 | 1.18 | 74.7% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.06 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.07 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:29 | 0.56 | 80.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.07 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 64.8% | +6.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:31 | 0.14 | 43.2% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.04 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.51 | −0.5 | 59:54 |