Sun, Apr 7, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 62% of the time.
54%
9%
30%
WSH winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:00 | 0.03 | 48.7% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 23:02 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.14 | 23.7% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:54 | 0.26 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:52 | 0.19 | 32.7% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.04 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:12 | 1.20 | 59.1% | +40.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.60 | 66.6% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.09 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.04 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.25 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.02 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.03 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:12 | 0.05 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.05 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:07 | 0.15 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.09 | +0.1 | 59:09 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:37 | 0.13 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:34 | 0.02 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 20:33 | 1.34 | 69.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.15 | 35.9% | +1.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.06 | 47.5% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.29 | 84.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17:40 | 0.90 | 83.6% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.25 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.02 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.07 | 45.7% | +41.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.05 | 36.5% | +26.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.25 | 46.8% | +47.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:49 | 0.15 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.09 | 46.9% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.07 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.13 | +1.1 | 60:00 |