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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 9, 2013·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Buffalo Sabres 1, Winnipeg Jets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 73% of the time.

WPG winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Porter–Foligno–FlynnOtt–Gerbe–HodgsonVanek–Stafford–EnnisHecht–Kaleta–ScottOtt–Vanek–HodgsonStafford–Gerbe–EnnisHecht–Scott–FlynnVanek–Gerbe–HodgsonEhrhoff–MyersSekera–WeberPardy–PysykEhrhoff–WeberSekera–MyersEhrhoff–Pysyk
Ladd–Wheeler–Little1:000.27–0.174:560.05–0.161:340.41–0.242:050.03–0.300:420.00–0.070:310.20–0.024:090.53–0.004:470.30–0.252:280.30–0.61
Jokinen–Wellwood–Kane1:030.09–0.031:070.00–0.003:200.26–0.080:460.00–0.001:380.00–0.030:500.06–0.050:300.00–0.010:580.00–0.003:270.31–0.063:490.01–0.031:300.00–0.000:460.09–0.03
Santorelli–Tangradi–Burmistrov4:540.18–0.180:440.00–0.020:330.00–0.131:210.17–0.003:240.17–0.132:170.00–0.022:080.18–0.13
Thorburn–Gagnon–Wright1:420.10–0.001:070.00–0.001:400.06–0.002:040.02–0.001:400.14–0.001:150.00–0.003:260.02–0.000:530.02–0.00
Santorelli–Kane–Burmistrov1:370.00–0.001:280.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Hainsey–Bogosian1:280.09–0.092:370.15–0.034:090.25–0.000:480.00–0.131:510.00–0.330:480.00–0.070:420.02–0.000:350.20–0.023:070.26–0.134:550.05–0.052:550.35–0.300:300.04–0.010:560.02–0.001:100.09–0.10
Stuart–Clitsome2:300.27–0.021:090.31–0.082:340.06–0.000:470.00–0.000:580.00–0.002:310.35–0.001:300.27–0.004:030.02–0.02
Byfuglien–Clitsome1:330.18–0.011:250.00–0.021:370.43–0.000:340.11–0.000:460.00–0.000:510.06–0.053:390.40–0.051:380.00–0.021:150.39–0.01
Hainsey–Byfuglien1:140.00–0.301:100.00–0.000:520.10–0.240:330.09–0.000:340.09–0.001:550.00–0.171:340.10–0.37
Stuart–Byfuglien1:070.04–0.000:300.00–0.000:420.07–0.000:380.00–0.011:420.11–0.010:460.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Enstrom–Byfuglien1:040.06–0.002:100.05–0.141:410.11–0.001:390.00–0.06
Clitsome–Bogosian1:070.00–0.061:070.00–0.160:390.03–0.041:190.00–0.181:240.03–0.040:390.00–0.04
Hainsey–Stuart0:480.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:480.00–0.00
Stuart–Bogosian0:460.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLadd FLittle FWheeler FKane FJokinen FWellwood FBurmistrov FSantorelli FTangradi FWright FGagnon FThorburn FByfuglien DEnstrom DHainsey DBogosian DStuart DClitsome DPavelec GOtt FHodgson FGerbe FStafford FVanek FEnnis FPorter FFlynn FFoligno FScott FKaleta FHecht FEhrhoff DMyers DWeber DSekera DPardy DPysyk DMiller G
WPGBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ron HainseyWPG2626:451:021:4715
Christian EhrhoffBUF2724:300:541:4854
Zach BogosianWPG2724:040:531:2813
Tyler MyersBUF2822:460:491:4464
Dustin ByfuglienWPG2522:040:532:1026
Grant ClitsomeWPG2521:590:531:4634
Andrej SekeraBUF2520:480:501:5333
Mark StuartWPG2520:050:481:5337
Andrew LaddWPG2219:480:541:3043
Evander KaneWPG2019:380:591:4831
Thomas VanekBUF1919:191:011:5612
Drew StaffordBUF2118:450:541:2643
Mike WeberBUF2218:130:502:1022
Cody HodgsonBUF2118:010:511:3032
Steve OttBUF2017:550:541:3833
Nathan GerbeBUF1917:510:561:3043
Mark PysykBUF2317:310:461:2521
Tyler EnnisBUF2017:250:521:2643
Blake WheelerWPG2117:200:501:4131
Alexander BurmistrovWPG1916:590:541:3613
Adam PardyBUF2216:170:441:2521
Bryan LittleWPG2016:130:491:2421
Brian FlynnBUF2016:030:481:1020
Olli JokinenWPG1815:120:511:2623
Kevin PorterBUF1514:180:571:1510
Marcus FolignoBUF1513:230:541:2010
James WrightWPG1813:000:431:1604
Mike SantorelliWPG1412:440:551:2703
Kyle WellwoodWPG1412:160:531:2141
Aaron GagnonWPG1712:020:421:1104
Jochen HechtBUF1510:410:431:3240
Eric TangradiWPG149:510:421:0403
John ScottBUF149:160:401:3130
Chris ThorburnWPG128:340:431:1005
Patrick KaletaBUF96:370:441:0930
Toby EnstromWPG65:260:542:0021