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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 24, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:58Shot by Grabovski, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Grabovski, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 2:21Shot by Pouliot, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 3:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 4:40Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 6:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 6:40Shot by Tyrell, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 10:57Shot by Franson, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 11:43Shot by Kadri, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 12:56Shot by Brewer, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 17:03Goal by Kessel (Bozak)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Carle, Killorn, Panik · TOR O'Byrne, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kostka, Bozak

  13. P1 19:10Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 19:55Shot by Labrie, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 1:14Purcell: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · TOR McClement, O'Byrne, Grabovski, Komarov, Kostka

  18. P2 2:31Shot by Franson, saved by Bishop4v5
  19. P2 2:44Shot by Grabovski, saved by Bishop4v5
  20. P2 2:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer4v5
  21. P2 3:13Pyatt: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Pyatt, Aulie, Gudas · TOR Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kostka, Bozak

  22. P2 5:26Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  23. P2 5:54Goal by Stamkos (Thompson, Carle)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Thompson, Labrie, Stamkos · TOR Lupul, Franson, Fraser, Kulemin, Colborne

  24. P2 6:07Shot by Crombeen, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 6:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 7:02Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bishop
  27. P2 7:07Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 7:26Shot by Fraser, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 8:17Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 9:49Shot by Tyrell, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 12:00Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 12:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 12:05Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 15:15Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 15:48Goal by St. Louis (Thompson)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Thompson, Stamkos, Hedman · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  36. P2 16:11Shot by Grabovski, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 16:50Shot by Colborne, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 17:02MacArthur: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos, Gudas · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Komarov, Gunnarsson, Frattin

  39. P2 18:01Shot by St. Louis, saved by Reimer5v4
  40. P2 18:55Shot by Pouliot, saved by Reimer5v4
  41. P2 19:36Goal by Lupul (MacArthur, Franson)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Pouliot, Killorn, Hedman, Panik · TOR Lupul, MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Bozak

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:11Shot by Crombeen, saved by Reimer
  45. P3 1:31Shot by Fraser, saved by Bishop
  46. P3 2:45Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Bishop
  47. P3 3:13Goal by Gudas (Purcell, Stamkos)+30 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman, Gudas · TOR Franson, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  48. P3 3:58Shot by Panik, saved by Reimer
  49. P3 3:59Fraser: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Killorn, Aulie, Panik, Gudas · TOR MacArthur, Franson, Fraser, Frattin, Colborne

  50. P3 9:03Shot by Frattin, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 9:43Shot by Labrie, saved by Reimer
  52. P3 10:23Shot by Grabovski, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 10:37Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Bishop
  54. P3 11:31Shot by Killorn, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 13:08Goal by St. Louis (Aulie, Tyrell)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Aulie, Tyrell, Stamkos, Gudas · TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Komarov, Gunnarsson

  56. P3 15:05Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 15:30Shot by Lupul, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 15:38Shot by Franson, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 16:25Shot by Frattin, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 17:11Goal by St. Louis (Lecavalier)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Stamkos · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak

  61. P3 17:35Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 19:18Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 19:46Shot by Purcell, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final